Let The COVID19 Run Thru The Population

Your (and that guy’s) math is fear mongering horseshit, a huge steaming pile.

The 2% that was used came from a calculation with REAL data. It was not a projection from a computer model.

Did you not even read your own link? He states repeatedly that it is precisely that. The only ‘real data’ available shows a MUCH less dire circumstance.

The 2% that was used came from a calculation with REAL data. It was not a projection from a computer model. Here is an expert from Harvard who said that up 70% of the population could become infected if you just let the virus go thru the population without any distancing.

It's you people on the right who want to sacrifice old people so that the DJIA can get back to 25,000 points.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronav...ay-2020-03-02/ Originally Posted by adav8s28

So yes, exactly what I said. You choose the 2% based on an early study that as it's coming to light is running high compared to actual numbers in the US which are tracking more towards the 1% or even lower rate. Your latest reference to support the 70% said a 1% likely death rate. And the 70% again was the top end of the spectrum with even your link saying 40% - 70%.

CBS News spoke to one of the country's top experts on viruses, Marc Lipsitch from Harvard University, who cautions that 40-70% of the world's population will become infected — and from that number, 1% of people who get symptoms from COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus, could die. The virus can spread rapidly and people can transmit it before they know they are infected.

So indeed you combined two high end numbers toward the worst case scenarios from different sources to come up with your DemPanic number.

And still no comment on why you choose to use the word "indicate". More DemPanic maybe??

Enjoy the movies, boys.

little a is far behinid the curve - but desperately wants a high mortality rate for Wuhan virus to justify wrecking the economy and the US - so the DPST socialist totalitarians can stge a coup.
Last night - Brett Giroir MD part of the Wuhan virus task force - stated clearly the best estimates of the Wuhan virus case mortality rate is around 0.1% - a real blow to the hopes and aspirations of the DPST's!
This is a level comparable to influenza a - over which we do not shut down the world and economy.

That estimate of mortality may well be significantly lower - as we know the uncounted asymptomatic and minimally symptomatic non-diagnosed are not counted - and reasonably inflate the denominator by likely at least a factor of 10.




Facts never once deterred a DPST in support of the narrative "Truth" - and they all think they are medical experts from reading the WaPo on the net.

I knew and worked with Dr. Giroir early in career. He is very talented - and working for All Americans - unlike the DPST's who will do anything, say any Lie - to convert the Wuhan Virus into an anti- Trump political football.

Did you not even read your own link? He states repeatedly that it is precisely that. The only ‘real data’ available shows a MUCH less dire circumstance. Originally Posted by Jacuzzme

That study analyzed 72,314 patient records, including some that were suspected cases. It determined that coronavirus had an “overall case fatality rate of 2.3%.” The study was called Vital Surveillances: The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) and it was conducted by the Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team.


https://heavy.com/news/2020/02/coron...h-rate-vs-flu/

JC, what study are you talking about?

The study calculated a death rate of 2.3% I used 2% in the calculation. There aren't any studies using real data that calculate a death rate of 1%. The computer models PROJECT 1%, that is not based on REAL data.

little a - your link is a non-starter.

u are not any kind of authority on the issues u are trying to pervert with fake numbers.

u cannot even define the difference between a physical sign and a diagnosis.

u are not worth reaading- just a DPST using fantasy to try to bring down the POTUS - with Trump hate Ur motivation.
Pathetic.

your link is a non-starter.
Originally Posted by oeb11

Link works. The only DPST is in your little mind little O.

JC, what study are you talking about?

Yours, knucklehead.

—“That is a projection, so we will find out if it's accurate as things go on.”

—“If it really does spread as widely as that projection says, and that's what I think is likely to happen.”

Not to mention that the interview is from weeks ago when ‘real data’ was virtually nonexistent. We now have small population countries, like Iceland and Lichtenstein who can reliably extrapolate their testing, showing numbers that are exponentially less frightening.

Millions of Americans aren’t going to die, regardless of your raging boner for that to happen.

That study analyzed 72,314 patient records, including some that were suspected cases. It determined that coronavirus had an “overall case fatality rate of 2.3%.” The study was called Vital Surveillances: The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) and it was conducted by the Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team.


https://heavy.com/news/2020/02/coron...h-rate-vs-flu/

JC, what study are you talking about?

The study calculated a death rate of 2.3% I used 2% in the calculation. There aren't any studies using real data that calculate a death rate of 1%. The computer models PROJECT 1%, that is not based on REAL data. Originally Posted by adav8s28

And yet again, the "expert" you cited in your reference to the worst case scenario 40-70% of infection said 1% death rate. Is he only an expert on the spread rate and not the death rate?

CBS News spoke to one of the country's top experts on viruses, Marc Lipsitch from Harvard University, who cautions that 40-70% of the world's population will become infected — and from that number, 1% of people who get symptoms from COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus, could die. The virus can spread rapidly and people can transmit it before they know they are infected.

Admit it, you are cherry picking near the top end statistics of different articles to continue your DemPanic.

And speaking of DemPanic, any updates on why you choose to use the word "indicate"?