we also know that the Taliban was created and is run (handled) by the ISI (Pakistani version of the CIA, who also had a hand in the November fraud).
Given that the US & India are close allies, and Pakistan is more closely aligned with China than us (despite the billions we gave Pakistan in the GWOT), many of the signs seem to point to option 1.
The only thing pointing towards option 2 is that the media and social media companies who we've seen time & again censor any news coming out that's harmful to the Biden regime are allowing the pics & vids of the fall of Kabul circulate.
Hell, even Jake Tapper, one of the regime's favored propagandists, made harsh comments towards Biden last night.
Again, pay attention to the narratives that they begin to push- those will be the "tell."