aren't we? again if the 10 X estimate is true and for the sake of debate let's say it is .. the known infected of 32m now becomes 320 million. that approaches 98 percent.
if that has already happened as those reports indicate is possible, how many more in the "herd" do you need for "herd immunity"?
also recall how Fauci and others suddenly re-invented the 100 years of modern science on herd immunity. until all this started, the known science said several things. one is that lockdowns are not effective and in fact prolong a pandemic by preventing/delaying herd immunity.
another is that the typical minimum for herd immunity is about 70%. then suddenly it's 80-85%. next month it will be 90+%.
Fauci has also claimed, falsely and again contradicting about 100 years of data, that now herd immunity is only achieved by vaccinations, not by exposure.
Fauci is a fraud pushing an agenda.
Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
Up until they started vaccinating a lot of people, you could look at antibody tests and get an idea of how many people had been infected. Nowhere close to 98% have gotten it, as you know. Right now it's probably more like 25% or 30%. You assume 0.5% infection fatality rate, and 570,000 deaths, and you'd come up with 114 million people infected, or a little over 1/3rd of the population. Granted, add that to the number of people who've received at least one shot, 128 million, some of which already have had COVID, and we may be over 50% of the population with some immunity.
I know at least two people who have gotten COVID twice. And do believe the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are more effective than an infection in conferring immunity. I don't know about the other vaccines. I suspect the Chinese vaccine may be less effective.
If this is like the common cold or the flu we may never get to herd immunity, with or without vaccines. I think Fauci has said that. I don't think he's a fraud. He's just reacting to the additional knowledge that's been gained through time. And yeah, he was trained to think mostly about preventing deaths and not about preserving jobs or keeping the economy going, and he's biased in that direction.
I'd a lot rather get immunity through a vaccination than through getting the disease.
Trying to slow down the spread while we developed a vaccine turned out to be a good strategy. And that is due in no small part to the resources that the Trump administration put into developing and manufacturing vaccines. Just compare where we are right now to most of Europe.
raise the intentionally inflated deaths to 750k and lower the total population to remove people who we know now are very unlikely to die to about 250m by exclusion of anyone under 30 and you get ..
0.003
that's three one thousands of one percent.
Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
That's actually three tenths of 1%, or 0.3%, or about 1 out of every three hundred people.