You know me captain I just like to yank the chain
Originally Posted by WTF
Yeah, I know! Sometimes I like to yank back just to try to keep some of you guys honest!
But, WTF, I know from our previous discussions that although you support tax increases on the wealthy, you fully realize that it really isn't going to make a lot of difference -- and that taxes are going to have to go up on the middle class, too, and by
a lot.
Actually, it's far less than that. Two pennies is two percent. Two percent of the yearly deficit (1.3 trillion) is 26 billion. The Buffett tax is projected to raise 4.7 billion per year. The Buffett tax would have to raise five and one half times as much in order to equal two pennies of every deficit dollar. Politicians know that people don't grasp large numbers, and consequently, are easily fooled by them. When Obama says the Buffett tax will raise 47 billion dollars people think great, that should take care of the problem. It's classic demagoguery.
Originally Posted by joe bloe
You're right with regards to the imposition of what some envision as the "Buffett Rule", if you limit tax increases on the wealthy to that, and do not consider the desired rescission of the Bush-era tax cuts
only on those earning over $250K. Since the latter course is desired by Obama and virtually all Democrats, I would suggest that it falls under the domain of this thread's subject.
If you were to simply rescind the Bush tax cuts for all households with AGI above $250K, you would raise additional revenue of about $60-70 billion annually according to static analysis. But in the real world, you'd see a lot of that expected revenue pull a disappearing act. That's why I said that a couple of pennies for every deficit dollar might be a fairer estimate.
The "Buffett Rule" itself is not a policy proposal; it's merely disingenuous demagoguery designed to appeal to simpletons. Policymakers should instead simply say what they want to do with rates, exclusions, etc., and put some meat on the bones. If they want to push the capital gains tax rate to much higher levels, they ought to say so clearly and go for it. But then they shouldn't be surprised when people notice a couple of years down the road that the anticipated additional revenue never materialized.
And Obama is only making it worse.
Originally Posted by CuteOldGuy
Yes, indeed.
Some of the blind partisanship you see around here is just hilarious!
People (justifiably) slam the extreme fiscal irresponsibility of the Bush administration and Tom DeLay's corrupt congress, but offer nary a whimper of complaint when Obama and Pelosi's congress takes fiscal recklessness to new heights.
The cold, hard truth is that taxes are going to have to go up, and by a lot. The popular attempts to raise taxes on the wealthy never work as advertised. In the post-Nixon era, backlash against the wealthy caused politicians to raise the capital gains tax to extremely high levels (about 39%). That backfired. Even thought the Democrats had a large majority in congress, they passed a cut (to 28%) in 1978, and the president signed it. Note that the president at that time was Jimmy Carter, not Reagan. But reality is reality. Even the clueless Carter realized that the high rate wasn't working.
I think deep down inside, everybody knows what's coming within the next five years or so. Higher tax rates on the affluent will probably come first, as no politician dares to tax the under-$250K majority (98% of households) without exhausting that course first. But even rescinding the Bush tax cuts for
all taxpayers would probably bring in "only" about $300-350 billion annually.
That still leaves a trillion-dollar gap.