A few things to consider. AZ is likely to have Lake on the ballot which I suspect doesn’t help Trump.
Also, which Floridians are relocating to GA. I suspect it’s folks more likely to vote Dem.
Michigan I think goes Dem.
PA I believe is trending Dem.
It’s gonna be hard for Trump to make gains in the electoral college. I’m not sure he makes gains to increase in any state outside of those. Further Trump has no VP pick possible that could swing a state.