Fauci continues to push for social distancing. If he were trying to make money off of the drug, you would think he would be for the exact opposite. He would push a policy that would result with more infections, if he were really looking to make money. Originally Posted by adav8s28
what else would he say now? he's backed himself into a corner anyway so now all he has is social distancing. remember this is the guy that said in mid January this wasn't a big concern. then he gets on the "millions will die" alarmist band wagon, after Trump stopped travel. and here he is in early MARCH saying most people don't need masks.
FLASHBACK MARCH 2020: Fauci Says "There's No Reason To Be Walking Around With A Mask"
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/vi...th_a_mask.html
let's see what "wonder drug" happens to appear to save us all from this virus. then who backed it and who profits from it.
one thing that gets swept away in reports on this is that there have been at least 7 of this similar group of coronavirus going back to the 1960's. most of the 7 are now seasonal and mild. there are 4 that are now seasonal. a few others have run their course. regardless if this strain becomes persistent history also shows them to become milder and less infectious overall.
the article goes into much more depth if you are so inclined to read it. i took the two outlines and odds as summaries. either way this does not look like the great death plague it was feared to be.
next "flu season" the world should ban travel to and from China and go about it's merry way.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/02/04/...snt-contained/
It’s still possible that quarantines and travel bans will first halt the outbreak and then eradicate the microbe, and the world will never see 2019-nCoV again, as epidemiologist Dr. Mike Ryan, head of health emergencies at the World Health Organization, told STAT on Saturday. That’s what happened with SARS in 2003.
Many experts, however, view that happy outcome as increasingly unlikely. “Independent self-sustaining outbreaks [of 2019-nCoV] in major cities globally could become inevitable because of substantial exportation of pre-symptomatic cases,” scientists at the University of Hong Kong concluded in a paper published in The Lancet last week.
Experts see two possibilities, each with unique consequences:
Just another coronavirus
2019-nCoV joins the four coronaviruses now circulating in people. “I can imagine a scenario where this becomes a fifth endemic human coronavirus,” said Stephen Morse of Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health, an epidemiologist and expert on emerging infectious diseases. “We don’t pay much attention to them because they’re so mundane,” especially compared to seasonal flu.
Although little-known outside health care and virology circles, the current four “are already part of the winter-spring seasonal landscape of respiratory disease,” Adalja said. Two of them, OC43 and 229E, were discovered in the 1960s but had circulated in cows and bats, respectively, for centuries. The others, HKU1 and NL63, were discovered after the 2003-2004 SARS outbreak, also after circulating in animals. It’s not known how long they’d existed in people before scientists noticed, but since they jumped from animals to people before the era of virology, it isn’t known whether that initial jump triggered widespread disease.
On the decidedly darker side, a fifth endemic coronavirus means more sickness and death from respiratory infections.
Odds: Moderate. “I think there is a reasonable probability that this becomes the fifth community-acquired coronavirus,” Adalja said, something he expanded on in his blog. Webby agreed: “I have a little bit of hope that, OK, we’ll put up with a couple of years of heightened [2019-nCoV] activity before settling down to something like the other four coronaviruses.”
2019-nCoV returns repeatedly like a bad seasonal flu
The “seasonal” reflects the fact that viruses can’t tolerate high heat and humidity, preferring the cool and dry conditions of winter and spring, Webby said. That’s why flu, as well as the four coronaviruses, are less prevalent in warm, humid months. If the new coronavirus follows suit, then containment efforts plus the arrival of summer should drive infections to near zero.
But also like flu viruses, that doesn’t mean it’s gone.
The “bad” reflects the fact that the number of 2019-nCoV cases and deaths so far suggests that the new coronavirus has a fatality rate around 2%. That’s almost certainly an overestimate, since mild cases aren’t all being counted. But even 2% is less than SARS’ 10% and nowhere near the 37% of MERS (Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus). On the other hand, seasonal flu kills fewer than 0.1% of those it infects, though that’s still tens of thousands of deaths a year just in the U.S. The global disaster that was the 1917 “Spanish flu” pandemic killed 2.5% (though some estimates exceed 10%)
Since 2019-nCoV is new, “this first wave will be particularly bad because we have an immunologically naïve population,” Adalja said. Future waves should pass by people who were exposed (but not necessarily sickened) this time around, Morse said, “but that assumes this virus doesn’t develop the tricks of flu,” which famously tweaks the surface molecules that the immune system can see, making itself invisible to antibodies from previous exposures.
Odds: Pretty good. What we may be seeing “is the emergence of a new coronavirus … that could very well become another seasonal pathogen that causes pneumonia,” said infectious disease expert Michael Osterholm of the University of Minnesota. It would be “more than a cold” and less than SARS: “The only other pathogen I can compare it to is seasonal influenza.”
