We've covered this topic several times. Polls had Clinton winning the popuular vote by about 2%. Accurate. The final poll in Michigan had Trump leading. Accurate. The final poll in Pennsylvania had Trump closing to within the margin of error. Accurate. Only Wisconsin was in error. About 47 of the 50 states were correct in their polls.
And in 2018 the polls were just about 100% accurate. Let's wait and see what polls say right before the election and then compare them to the final results. If the polls are inaccurate I will be the first to admit it.
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
Again, it's only going to matter as we get very close to election day.
Comparing this period to anything in 2016 is not apples to apples and way too early still to have any meaning.
In 2016, Primaries were still going on actively for both parties. Trump hadn't clinched yet and neither had Hillary, who actually took longer than Trump to Clinch her essential 2 person contest while Trump knocked out the 18 or so others essentially after the NY vote(which coincidentally was April 19th). Trump still didn't secure the votes though until later May if I remember correctly.
2016 also did not have an incumbent running for a second term or even a VP stepping up to try and run. Biden lost much of the momentum available him by not running then and just got older and feebler.
Polls will become a little more meaningful starting about September, but even then Hillary was much further ahead in Sept and October than where she ended up polling on election day.
To try and tout any polling now as somehow meaningful for either Biden or Trump is simply political bullshit.