You said that AA and Latino support for Trump will diminish greatly. But unemployment numbers for those groups are at historic lows. Money talks and bullshit walks. I’ll bet you that AOC won’t win re-election.
Originally Posted by bambino
And I'm sure you stated that Republicans would hold the House in 2018. And it would be due to the economy. I think you overestimated the importance of the economy on voters minds in 2018 and you seem to be doing the same for 2020.
Here is what I said in my earlier post:
"I realize that Trump's reelection chances in 2020 are not very much dependent on the black and Hispanic vote, but he had hoped to increase his support from them in 2020 and his recent attacks on The Squad have diminished those chances greatly."
I did NOT say AA and Latino support would diminish greatly from 2016 to 2020. I did say that I thought Trump's comments would hurt his chances of getting increased support from those 2 groups. He garnered about 28% of the Hispanic vote in 2016. I think he was on course to get that up to maybe 33% in 2020. Now it looks like that increase will be negated by his comments. Obviously an opinion on my part.
AOC winning reelection? Obviously whoever wins the Democratic primary in that district wins the seat. I have read that some voters in AOC's district are less than thrilled with her but I haven't seen anyone come forward to challenge her yet. Scherie Murray is challenging her from the Republican side. So right now I would say AOC is certainly the favorite to win reelection.