Some more fun facts. Remember how some people on this board and the Lincoln Project of Republican "never Trumper's" who spent hundreds of millions of dollars trying to defeat Trump? Over $300 million was spent trying to defeat McConnell, Graham, Collins and Ernst and all won!
And all those Republicans that were going to abandon Trump? He got 5 million more votes this time than he did in 2016, 68 million people voted for Trump.
And the polling, OMG, these people should be embarrassed to ever run another poll and guess who was hinting at that? No less than some people at CNN and MSNBC who were brave enough to speak truth to power though not very loudly.
Quinnipiac polling was a full 19% points off on the Collins race in Maine and not one single poll conducted had Collins winning, not one.
Quinnipiac had Biden at 50 and Trump at 39.
A Washington Post poll had Biden at 57% and Trump at 40% in Wisconsin. How could they be so wrong after getting 2016 so wrong? Well, you know the the answer to that one.
Originally Posted by HedonistForever
First, I wish I shared your optimism in Biden as a lock to win the election, Arizona is scaring me. Trump has been slowly closing the gap since Biden went up by something like 200,000 votes. Biden still has a 68k+ lead but 12% of the voted is still to be counted. I think that Trump is correct on this one -- FOX and AP called the race too early. In Georgia, the race continues to get closer but Biden is running of votes. He has to win about 66% of the remaining votes to win. IN Pa. Biden has closed the gap to 125k with 13% of the vote left.
But let's move on to the polls.
At the
national level, RealClearPolitics (RCP) which summarizes all polls, had Biden +7.2. Biden is now +2.4 and it could grow sometwhat. At the state level, almost every state had Biden leading by more than the actual results. They missed big time in Ohio (off by 7.2%) and Wisconsin (off by 6%) and Iowa (off by 6.2%). In Florida off by 4.3%. In NC, off by 1.2%. In Michigan off by 1.5%. In Minnesota off by 2.9% (Biden low). In Arizona Biden at +.9%. In Nevada Biden at +2.4%. In Georgia Trump +1%. In Texas off by 4.5%. So many of the polls at the state level were accurate, within the margin of error.
As for the state level elections, some of RCPs estimates were horrible. Again, almost all predictions were high on the Democraic side. Collins prediction was the worst by far.
As for money spent on various campaigns, I leave that up to each party to determine if they spent money wisely. IN hindsight I'm sure they would agree with you that the money would have been better spent elsewhere.