Bibi Wins!!

In 2016, 71% of the Jewish vote went to Clinton. Hard to believe that 50% of the Jewish voters would switch their party vote.

However, Orthodox Jews, who are much more conservative than Jews in general, heavily supported Trump.

https://forward.com/news/353914/by-t...6-jewish-vote/ Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

The Orthodox are also considerably more successful reproductively.

Demographics are destiny.

Your math sucks, speedy. Only one out of five Jewish voters needs to switch parties to give Republicans roughly half their vote. Originally Posted by lustylad

In post #2 nevergaveitathought stated that a friend of his from Israel expected 75% of the Israeli voters to vote Republican in the future. In post #21 I stated that 71% of the Jewish vote went to Clinton in 2016. That means, at least to me, that just less than 50% of the voters who voted Democratic in 2016 would have to change their votes to Republican in order for Trump to get 75% of the Jewish vote in 2020.

I never commented on what % of the Jewish vote would need to change in order for Trump to hit 50% of the vote. Since you think my math skills suck, I'll let you figure that one out if you so desire.

The Orthodox are also considerably more successful reproductively.

Demographics are destiny. Originally Posted by friendly fred

Definitely true. Although at the current time Haredi Jews are a minority in Israel.

"By 2030, the Haredi Jewish community is projected to make up 16% of the total population, and by 2065, one third of the Israeli population. The number of Haredi Jews in Israel is rising rapidly."

In post #2 nevergaveitathought stated that a friend of his from Israel expected 75% of the Israeli voters to vote Republican in the future. In post #21 I stated that 71% of the Jewish vote went to Clinton in 2016. That means, at least to me, that just less than 50% of the voters who voted Democratic in 2016 would have to change their votes to Republican in order for Trump to get 75% of the Jewish vote in 2020.

I never commented on what % of the Jewish vote would need to change in order for Trump to hit 50% of the vote. Since you think my math skills suck, I'll let you figure that one out if you so desire. Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

You quoted dilbert directly in your post #20. He said a swing to 50% was more likely. If you meant to refer to ngiat's 75% reference, it wasn't clear to me. I already calculated it would only require a switch by one in every five Jewish voters to approach dilbert's 50% number.

You quoted dilbert directly in your post #20. He said a swing to 50% was more likely. If you meant to refer to ngiat's 75% reference, it wasn't clear to me. I already calculated it would only require a switch by one in every five Jewish voters to approach dilbert's 50% number. Originally Posted by lustylad

never said exactly 50%. I said under 50%.


I did say later on that under 40% was more achievable and more likely.