It's funny watching some make such wild ass moronic predictions this early on.
Biden is likely the nominee, but that isn't even set in stone yet.
And this poster likely considered Hillary a lock based on wider leads during the summer of 2016, but we see how that turned out come Election day November 2016.
Let them throw out their moronic prognostications and wishful thinking, but as you say, those of us in reality will await October to have a better idea.
Originally Posted by eccielover
I certainly agree with you that it is way too early to make bold predictions. But how many on this forum have already predicted a Trump victory in November, with some predicting a landslide?
At this point in time in 2016, Clinton had a larger lead than Biden enjoys right now. In several of the states in which Biden holds a lead, the lead is within the margin of error.
I'm finding the Senate races intriguing. Democrat Jones will probably lose in Alabama. Republicans will probably lose their seats in Colorado and Arizona. The only other Democratic seat that has been discussed as a possible loss would be Peters seat in Michigan, but he seems fairly safe at the moment. That leaves several Republican seats in jeopardy -- Collins in Maine and Tillis in NC are rated toss-ups. Ernst in Iowa, the open seat in Kansas, Daines in Montana, and one of the 2 seats in Georgia are lean red. The only poll done in SC has Graham (R) dead even with Harrison (D). Even McConnell is in a seemingly tight race.
I don't see the Democrats gaining control of the Senate in 2020. Too many races would have to fall their way in order for that to happen. But the odds currently are that the Democrats will pick up 1, 2, or even 3 seats.