True, I did not add in the "bid-up" rate, which varies on exact area and quality of the joint. I was looking to see where the floor is. The bid-up seems to be increasing. But great point on who you are bidding against these days. It's a big bag of big money entities, as well as average Joes.
So.. ya wanna talk about those rental rates? Probably not. A reasonable 3 bd, 2 bath home around 1,300 sq ft? --> $2,100. What if you only want to spend $1,300 p/month? --> 1, maybe 2 bed, 1 bath in an apartment complex.
Ahhh, The ever vaunted new build. Do not be surprised to hear about a ~ 12 month lead time to get one or to maybe get put on a wait list. It will likely have an "escalation clause", which says something along the lines of: if costs go up during construction - so does your contract price. Youch!
Do bear in mind, people here and elsewhere see the area as the next Silicon valley and are flocking here in droves still. From the investment point of view: That was the gist of the question I was talking about in the previous post -- someone hoping they could purchase a small house cheap and quickly.
You are spot on as to not knowing which shoe may drop next to shock the system. My gut says a really, really ugly shock will have to happen for rental rates to decline in the next few years - which would likely equally impact new home prices. Pick your poison, but yeah it's shocking. But wait! There's more... Don't forget mortgage and interest rates are slipping upwards.
Total conundrum. This is why you
DO NOT EVER shutdown a humming economy.
Shock happens.
In RR and certain ATX suburbs, many houses are getting bid up to over 50-100k over list price - so the 500k floor is probably closer to 600k... If I were going to buy I would rather do a new build.
This is a seller's market and I think renting makes sense for the next year or so to let the market settle down. I could be completely wrong (especially due to inflation). I just don't think it makes sense to compete with wall street and 100 other people for the same shitty house that just doubled in price over the last two years. It seems more sensible to wait for market conditions to improve for buyers before becoming a buyer.
As more single family homes get bought up to be rented out, there will be an oversupply of rentals on the market. The price competition will bring rent prices down but I'm not sure how that will necessarily affect sales prices. Average rent going down tends to make rental properties less attractive from an investment point of view. These are some strange and uncertain times in the economy.
Originally Posted by mehsterj