There is little doubt that from a military standpoint it would be a win and a pretty quick one like Iraq was.
However, it's the follow up nation rebuilding and installing the government "we" want that continue to burn us in Iraq and would be the same in Iran. Once conquered, you cannot police every inch of these countries and resistance remains strong. Iran is about 4 times the geographical size of Iraq and more than twice the overall population.
Originally Posted by eccielover
not necessarily. unlike Iraq, Iran is a more modern culture where there is a higher living standard. Hussein controlled that and kept the masses in basic poverty and more isolated. Iran is different. many young people know full well about the "decadent" west and they like it. they want Levis and pop music. they have means. they are more prosperous.
in the first Iraq war we had a clear mandate and international support over Hussein's invasion of Kuwait. Why then, didn't Georgie H W take out Hussein? because the main players in the middle east didn't want him to. they knew what could come next from the void left after removing Hussein, a lesson we learned the hard way after the second Iraq invasion. the religious factions began a religious fight to lead. and it's still unsettled today.
in Iran the religious situation is not so polarized. while in total control, there is no oppressed faction like Iraq so once you take out the leadership the people are more open to a non-religion based government. a more democratic form. there is no guarantee of that but it is far more likely to happen in Iran than Iraq.
we don't need to invade Iran so we don't have to occupy the country. we can achieve the objective without it and then who cares what they do next, as long as they don't revert right back to a religious fanatical regime. and if they do .. we fuck 'em up again. sooner or later the masses will turn against the religious fanatics .. if there are any left.
this has nearly happened on its own in Iran. with the fanatics out of the way i.e. dead there is a far greater chance the people will force a new direction away from the current system. their military also could facilitate such a change, after they get their asses handed to them and the top Generals, like the religious leaders, are dead. More moderate leaders can emerge.