Just think how positive those stories would be if he put country before president!
Nobody likes a bully.
Bullies never win.
Fact. Originally Posted by Yssup Rider
hahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!
you obviously don't know history. bullies have won!
None of the prognosticators are predicting Menendez to fall in N.J. At one point in time it was considered a toss-up race but now is not even "Lean Democrat". It is "Likely Democrat". Yes, it is likely Heitkamp and O'Rourke will lose, but Democrats are leading in most of the toss-up states (Arizona, Florida, Montana, Indiana, Missouri) with only Nevada as a 50-50 state at this time.
My bet is Republicans maintain the 51-49 majority after the November elections. Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
Just think. President Obama had 95% positive news stories for eight years. President Trump has has 98% negative news coverage since he announced he was running.Of course Obama had 95% positive news stories and the Trumpster has 98% negative. WHO CONTROLS THE MEDIA??? THE FUCKIN DEMONCRATS DO.....
Just think if President Trump just had a smidgen of Press support that President Obama had where he would be. Originally Posted by Jackie S
According to the Real Clear Politics average of surveys, Democrats are not leading in Arizona and Missouri as you claim. The Republicans have a very small lead in those states. Currently, they are projecting that the Republicans will gain a net pick up of 2 Senate seats. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep..._toss_ups.html Originally Posted by NiceGuy53The main source of information I use is FiveThirtyEight which has Democrats leading in Arizona and Missouri. But certainly not by much. Indiana and Florida are also not certain Democratic victories.
The main source of information I use is FiveThirtyEight which has Democrats leading in Arizona and Missouri. But certainly not by much. Indiana and Florida are also not certain Democratic victories.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...idterms-header
You are correct that RealClearPolitics has the Republican candidates ahead in both Arizona and Missouri, but by the skin of their teeth.
I've said all along that I expect Republicans to hold the 51-49 margin in the Senate or maybe add one more seat. It all depends on voter turnout.
BTW, even though every group such as RealClearPolitics, FiveThirtyEight, Politico, and others have Democrats taking over control of the House, there are so many toss-up races that all could be wrong. Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
Trump's numbers are high enough to believe that the Republicans will probably pick up one or two seats in the Senate. Goodbye, Ginsberg! Hello, Barrett! Originally Posted by I B HankeringYou are assuming that Ginsberg will retire/die before 2020....when the Senate could flip back. Wet dreaming on your part.
Yeah, that's what I thought you were looking at (538). My problem with them is the way they take other polls and adjust them to some subjective trend line or "house effects" as they call them. And they always seem to adjust polls showing a favorable Republican outcome down more than they adjust polls showing a favorable Democrat outcome up. But you stick with them and I will stick with the RCP average and we will see who is right.
I tend to agree with your last statement. All the polls could be wrong. If the election were held today, the Republicans would probably lose the House and pick up 1 or 2 seats in the Senate. But who knows what could happen in 2 weeks. Originally Posted by NiceGuy53
This ain't 2010, and Trump is more popular Odumbo. Originally Posted by I B HankeringYes, it is 2018.
The main source of information I use is FiveThirtyEight Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXXWhy? Like they were soooo accurate the last time...
Why? Like they were soooo accurate the last time...Exactly...so wtf was the point of this thread?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Originally Posted by gfejunkie
Yes, it is 2018.
Did you even read the article you linked?
Overall, the poll found Democrats with a 9-point lead over Republicans in the battle for congressional control. Fifty percent of likely voters said they want Congress to flip to the Democrats while 41 percent said they want Republicans to retain majorities. Originally Posted by WTF