How many people will die in the USA from the new coronavirus by December 31, 2021??

dilbert firestorm's Avatar
isn't fortelling death kinda sick?
  • Tiny
  • 03-31-2020, 10:44 PM
isn't fortelling death kinda sick? Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm
Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative. Foretelling death is nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf.

Give me a number Dilbert
eccieuser9500's Avatar
Teeny Tiny, sheesh, you sound like my girlfriend when she's trying to give me a complex about my penis.

Sure, fine to revise, we shouldn't reach peak death rate for a couple of weeks so you're not gaming my game. What's your new number? Originally Posted by Tiny

323,001
  • Tiny
  • 03-31-2020, 10:54 PM
323,001 Originally Posted by eccieuser9500
Gracias senor
isn't fortelling death kinda sick? Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm
Kinda MORBID.
dilbert firestorm's Avatar
Hell yeah it's sick, but it's all relative. Foretelling death is nothing compared to the stuff Solemate62's into. I can't read through to the end of some of his reviews without running to the bathroom to barf.

Give me a number Dilbert Originally Posted by Tiny



85,000
eccieuser9500's Avatar
Gracias senor Originally Posted by Tiny
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7A0tNbtzhJE
The_Waco_Kid's Avatar
323,001 Originally Posted by eccieuser9500



so it's 323,001 to < 63k.


if you say so


BAHHHAHAAAAAA
eccieuser9500's Avatar
We have one year and three quarters left until D day. Or V day? Anyway.

As per the NPR article, 100,000 in mere months. So by the last day of NEXT year, it's going to be closer to a quarter million people! Way passed your measly 63K. You want to stick with that? For 21 months?

If teeny Tiny allows me to revert back to my comical guess of over (The Price is Right rules, remember) 260K. Afterall, he wants to revise his guess. Whatcha say, Tiny? I'll go ahead and say . . .

260,001 + 1 + your 63K = 323,001

Closest without going over. The "Greatest Generation" (you bet your ass I put it quotes), and their older booming offspring, plus those variable deaths due to pre existing immuno defiencies will be dispassionately erased. Cataclysmic? This will be studied for generations. Originally Posted by eccieuser9500
so it's 323,001 to < 63k.


if you say so


BAHHHAHAAAAAA Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
following your body count. so what is it?


> 323,001 ? less?

you call it goombah


BAHHHAHAAAAAA Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

X is going to be > than 323,001
  • oeb11
  • 04-01-2020, 12:16 PM
9500 and the Fascist DPST's are just basking in joy over the numbers they are projecting- Thinking (relative term for DPST's) it will defeat Trump in favor of the senile idiot Biden.

go ahead and enjoy - while u can - DPST's!
My prediction is by EOY 2021 we'll have 70,000 ventilators sitting around in the box, never opened.
  • Tiny
  • 04-01-2020, 03:54 PM
March 31, 2020
Predicted Deaths from Covid-19 in the United States of America

University of Washington IHME Model: 93,765 (1)

The Waco Kid Italian Extrapolation: greater than 71,037 (2)

South Korean Extrapolation: greater than 1,056 (3)

(1) Assumes four types of social distancing occur throughout the United States. Deaths projected to August 4, 2020

(2) Covid-19 deaths to date in Italy increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to Italy (60.5 million), or 5.4X

(3) Covid-19 deaths to date in South Korea increased by the ratio of the population of the USA (327.2 million) to South Korea (51.5 million), or 6.4X


Death Game Estimates, to 12/31/2021:

Friendly Fred: 50,000
Dilbert Firestorm: 80,000
Dr. Anthony Fauci: 150,000 (4)
Dr. Deborah Birx: 172,000 (4)
Tiny: 260,000
eccieuser9500: 323,001
Dr. James Lawler: 480,000
adav8s28: 1,569,600

(4) average of high and low estimates

The daily death rate in Italy is slowing.
Jacuzzme's Avatar
41,806
41,806 Originally Posted by Jacuzzme
You could end up being right.
  • oeb11
  • 04-02-2020, 03:21 PM
Case mortality rate estimates are dropping.

Add the chloroquine therapy effect - that should help .


The revising data and rate estimates indicate a disease with higher infectivity - but comparable case mortality to influenza A.

Fascist DPST's - weeping as the numbers improve. That much less to blame on Trump!