Predictable. Spineless politicians whose only guiding principle is to be re-elected aren't eager to inflict pain on any of their constituents. They may demagogue against the 1%, but when the chips are down they know who their major campaign donors are.
It's sooo much easier to spend, spend, spend on more freebies for your constituents than it is to raise everyone's taxes to pay for them.
We're looking at federal deficits of $2 trillion plus for as far as the eye can see.
Bottom line is we're fucked - unless MMT is validated and we can somehow spend ourselves into oblivion without triggering runaway inflation and dethroning the US dollar as global reserve currency.
Originally Posted by lustylad
I read that Biden's own budget, including both his proposed spending and proposed tax increases, calls for net federal debt (debt owned by the public) to be 117% of GDP around 10 years from now.
What worries me as much as the debt is the transition of the USA from comparatively low government expenditures and low taxes to something like France.
I recently completed my Greatest Piece of Work for eccie, a comparison of the five developed countries with the lowest government expenditures as a % of GDP (Low Spending Countries) to the five with the highest (High Spending Countries). This will be the subject of a future thread. I fully expect to be awarded the Nobel Price in Economics for this, even though I'm not an economist.
Here's a teaser. The high spending countries are France, Finland, Denmark, Belgium and Italy. And the low spending countries are Ireland, the USA, Switzerland, Singapore, and Hong Kong.
The low spending countries happen to be the five wealthiest in the world, in per capita terms, when you kick out tiny countries and petrostates.
Here are comparative numbers:
Low Spending Countries:
Average GDP per capita, adjusted for purchasing power, 2019: $78,300 per person
Average GDP annual growth, 2010 to 2019: 3.8%
Average Government Expenditures as a % of GDP in 2018: 25.2%
Average Government Revenues as a % of GDP in 2018: 25.5%
High Spending Countries:
Average GDP per capita, adjusted for purchasing power, 2019: $53,665
Average annual GDP growth, 2010 to 2019: 1.3%
Average Government Expenditures as a % of GDP: 52.4%
Average Government Revenues as a % of GDP: 51.3%
So GDP per capita for the Low Spending Countries is 46% higher than the High Spending Countries. And average GDP growth was almost 3X higher! Although admittedly without Ireland and Singapore, average GDP growth would have only been 80% higher.
Every one of the Low Spending Countries outperformed the High Spending Countries in both average GDP growth and GDP per capita, with one exception. Denmark's average annual GDP growth was 2%, and Switzerland's was 1.92%.