Politico, a left leaning publication, begs to differ. They don't see how Trump can't win as things stand. Your democratic candidate is going some form of socialist or another.
Originally Posted by the_real_Barleycorn
Interesting. I don't know if Politico is right or left but Bill Scher of Politico believes Democrats will win the 2020 election by an electoral count of 296-242 based on the 2018 House voting.
"Sure enough, Scher’s map keeps all of the Hillary Clinton states from the 2016 election in the Democratic Party camp. But thanks to a strong showing in those congressional races, his projection has several Trump states defecting to Democratic candidates: Arizona, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. It’s enough to tip the balance of power leftward, and away from the right. This “House vote” model has Democrats winning the Electoral College in 2020 by a score of 296 to 242."
https://observer.com/2018/12/2020-tr...te-prediction/
Larry Sabato currently has the 2020 electoral vote at 248-244 favoring the Republicans with only Arizona, Wisconsin, NH, 1 in Maine, and Pennsylvania (total of 46 electoral votes) up in the air.
The Cook Political Report has it at 232-220 Democrats with Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Florida, and 1 Maine up in the air.
Inside Elections has it at 269-215 Democrats with Wisconsin, NC, and Florida up in the air.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/inside...2020-president
It is very early. No Democratic front-runner yet in the race for their nominee. Will the economy stay strong and remain a positive for Trump? Will Democrats be able to stifle those in the party on the far left (AOC)? Right now the race for 2020 POTUS is by most UNBIASED accounts up in the air. Obviously you look at it as a fait accompli and Trump will coast to victory in 2020. I'll wait a while before making a prediction. I was dead wrong in 2016 and right on in 2018.