Here's a link to betting odds for wagers related to Donald Trump on betonline.ag.
https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/...s/donald-trump
For the bet will Trump "serve jail time before 2026," right now American odds are -300 for "No" and +200 for "Yes." That means if you bet $300 that Trump will not go to jail, you win $100 if you're right. On the other hand, if you bet $100 that Trump will go to jail and you're right, you win $200.
This implies the punters and/or the bookie believe there's between a 25% and 33% probability Trump will go to jail before 2026.