Rasmussen’s Top Pollster Predicts a Trump Landslide

baahahahaaaaaa

Rasmussen’s Top Pollster Predicts a Trump Landslide

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/saraha...slide-n2647179


With just two days until one of the most critical elections in U.S. history, Americans are holding their breath, wondering if the next POTUS will bring change or destroy the country further.


The presidential race has been close for the most part, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump going neck-and-neck throughout the entire campaign season. However, just days before votes begin to be calculated, a new poll shows Trump winning in a landslide.


Rasmussen’s head pollster made a striking prediction about the winner of the 2024 election.


Mark Mitchell suggested that Trump will take a significant lead nationally and among critical battleground states, positioning him to win in a landslide.


“What you’re hearing out there is that the polls are close, and I think that’s wrong,” he told Breitbart News. “I think the polls, on average, show a strong Trump win, and my polls taken independently show that as well.”


Mitchell predicted a significant Trump landslide victory that would mirror Ronald Reagan’s historic win against Jimmy Carter in 1980. He also pointed out that most people “don’t care who Kamala Harris is.”


The pollster credited a “major political realignment” as his reasoning, pointing to Trump’s ability to outperform in the polls. Mitchell seemed sure that the former president wouldn’t suddenly lose his momentum in the polls this close to Election Day and predicted that Trump would shift to the right of the polls in many if not all, swing states.


“I think the pollsters are having a hard time keeping up with that, us included. Party [affiliation] means a lot less than whether you support Trump or Harris,” Mitchell said, adding that people care about the Biden Administration but pointed out that it has been “deeply unpopular.”


Mitchell dismissed several polls that show Harris in the lead. He suggested that Trump’s performance has improved since 2020 and other election cycles, saying he is “locked in at a Trump plus two national popular votes.”


As a result, if Trump outperforms his previous national vote and in the battleground states, “that means Trump sweeps the swing states—a big win.”

Imagine you just sat through four years of mask mandates, ongoing poison injections, $10 eggs, the start of world war 3, and the government's assassination of someone's pet squirrel and you're like "Sure, I'll vote for more of that."

Looks like we won't be enduring Obama's 4th term.....

“There’s no perfect state.”

Oklahoma: “Hold my beer.”

Originally Posted by Flair4Drama

all's they need is the "joy" candidate

Cockula to head back west

become governor

and turn the whole thing red

in 1 term

she may be able to turn a state red

faster than the great Desantis

this thread is aging well!!

nailed it!


bahahahaaa


538 dropped Rasmussen because they were too truthful.

Bloodbath

Mark Mitchell nailed it. i won the PF's EV guessing game based on Trump taking all Severn swing states and he did.


TWK and The Dali Lama win!


BAHHAHHAHAAAAAA

Trump by 86. he carries every swing state in a landslide

https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1852...586279/photo/1


book it Danno!!


baahahhaaaa Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

OK, I guess this should be the final update, as results will be coming in in a matter of hours. If anyone else cares to contribute though maybe we can give him an honorable mention if he makes the best guess.

Electoral College

Eyecu2: Harris by 10
Eccieuser: Harris by 15
The Waco Kid: Trump by 86
Texas Contrarian: Trump by 36
Dali Lama: Trump by 86
Winn Dixie: Harris by 14
adav8s28: Harris by 6
Farmstud: Trump by 42
Tiny: Harris by 14

Popular Vote:

ttalinky: Harris by 5.3 percent (assuming 150 million total votes)
Eyecu2: Harris by 4.7 (assuming 150 million total votes)
Texas Contrarian: Harris by 2
Winn Dixie: Harris by 1.5
SpeedRacer: Harris by 2.5
adav8s28: Harris by 1
Farmstud: Trump by 0.5
Why Yes I Do: Trump by 51, baked
Tiny: Harris by 1

Senate

Eyecu2: Repubs by 1
Texas Contrarian: Repubs by 4
Winn Dixie: Tie
SpeedRacer: Repubs by 3
adav8s28: Dems by 2
Farmstud: Repubs by 4
Tiny: Repubs by 1

House

Dems by 4
Texas Contrarian: Dems by 4
Winn Dixie: Dems by 5
adav8s28: Repubs by 5
Farmstud: Repubs by 7.5
Tiny: Dems by 5

Observations

SpeedRacer looks for a narrow Democratic Party victory in the House. Salty believes Trump will win. Eyecu2 is predicting victories for Casey, Cruz and Gallego in the Senate. Ttalinky believes Harris will win by more than 300 electoral votes. A couple of competitors gave ranges. For example SpeedRacer believes Repubs will win the Senate by 52 to 48 or 51 to 49. For those I used the midpoint of the estimates.

Consensus Probabilities from the Punters

And here are consensus probabilities based on betting odds from Stossel's web site as of this moment:

President: Trump 57.9% / Harris 41.6%
Senate Control: Repubs 82.3% / Dems 17.7%
House Control: Dems 52.0% / Repubs 47.8%

Democrats have given up some ground in betting odds since the last update. Originally Posted by Tiny

Bloodbath