Harris is up in 3/7 battleground states

Recent quinnipiac poll has Harris up six points over Trump in Pennsylvania five points in Michigan and one point in Wisconsin.

Those three fall to Harris and it's game over for the red hats.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3905

North Carolina is also looking better every day for Harris.

For all you ECCIE/ASPD oldtimers - Wisconsin is still trending Romney.

Playing nice for now.

Polls mean nothing right now. Let's move to late October and see what happens. For example on youtube there are tons of videos showing Trump wins. They make me have a feel good moment, but that's all it is. I wouldn't put cold hard cash on it.

Polls are like a weather news cast with a hurricane in the middle of the Gulf. 2 or 3 models show a cat 1 hitting Galveston, while a few other models show the storm hitting Corpus or Lake Charles. People tend to click on different channels until they find hurricane forecasts that benefits them. Same for polls, I prefer Trafalgar while another person likes Fox, NY Times, or Quinnapiac polls.

As far as the internet goes, I like 538 and https://www.realclearpolling.com/.

The Real Clear Polling averages have Harris up in four of seven battleground states. And as Yssup alludes, Trump is only up by 0.1% in North Carolina. Here's a run down.

Arizona Trump +1.6%
Georgia Trump +1.7%
North Carolina Trump +0.1%
Nevada Harris +0.2%
Pennsylvania Harris +1.0%
Michigan Harris +1.7%
Wisconsin Harris +1.2%

Trump outperformed the polls in 2016 and 2020. I think Harris will outperform them this time around. That's why I'm kissing up to you guys on the left. When the purges come I hope you'll spare my life. If it's up to Blackman I'll be the first to go.

Recent quinnipiac poll has Harris up six points over Trump in Pennsylvania five points in Michigan and one point in Wisconsin.

Those three fall to Harris and it's game over for the red hats.

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3905 Originally Posted by eyecu2

I see Harris brought out the big gun, Oprah tonight in Michigan. I don't get Oprah's extreme popularity, but damn women love that woman. I used to ask my sister, "what the fuck is so interesting about her shows that makes you women love her so damn much?" She would just laugh and shrug and say, "I don't know. She's just awesome." Whatever. I guess Oprah is just the chick whisperer.

Oh well, Trump can probably officially kiss Michigan goodbye now.

I see Harris brought out the big gun, Oprah tonight in Michigan. I don't get Oprah's extreme popularity, but damn women love that woman. I used to ask my sister, "what the fuck is so interesting about her shows that makes you women love her so damn much?" She would just laugh and shrug and say, "I don't know. She's just awesome." Whatever. I guess Oprah is just the chick whisperer.

Oh well, Trump can probably kiss Michigan goodbye. Originally Posted by Lucas McCain

IMHO Oprah is vastly overrated. She's famous for helping Obama win the Primary in 2008 by getting the Black vote out for him instead of Clinton. I'm not sure she can sway a presidential election but things are so close she might be able to push things over in some down ballot races.

The Real Clear Polling averages have Harris up in four of seven battleground states. And as Yssup alludes, Trump is only up by 0.1% in North Carolina. Here's a run down.

Arizona Trump +1.6%
Georgia Trump +1.7%
North Carolina Trump +0.1%
Nevada Harris +0.2%
Pennsylvania Harris +1.0%
Michigan Harris +1.7%
Wisconsin Harris +1.2%

Trump outperformed the polls in 2016 and 2020. I think Harris will outperform them this time around. That's why I'm kissing up to you guys on the left. When the purges come I hope you'll spare my life. If it's up to Blackman I'll be the first to go. Originally Posted by Tiny

+1

Good work Tiny. If Harris takes just Penn, Mich, Wisc and Nev she will get to 270 electoral college votes and the ballgame is over.

Are you going to do the predict the electoral college contest for the 2024 election?

+1

Good work Tiny. If Harris takes just Penn, Mich, Wisc and Nev she will get to 270 electoral college votes and the ballgame is over.

Are you going to do the predict the electoral college contest for the 2024 election? Originally Posted by adav8s28

And if Trump wins PA, NC, GA and holds the states he's favored in, then MI, WI, NV, and AZ won't even matter. The election is over before they close voting on the west coast.