Source:
http://www.newsweek.com/presidential...n-trump-515705
"What about Tuesday’s forecasts?
FiveThirtyEight says
Trump now has more than a 25 percent chance of winning the election, while Clinton’s chances have dropped to 74.1 percent. For Clinton, it’s a more than 10 percent dip since last Tuesday, when she had an 85 percent chance of victory. It’s also a four point decrease from
Monday, when she had a 78.9 percent chance of winning.
Over at
The Upshot,
Clinton has an 88 percent chance of winning next Tuesday, compared to Trump’s 12 percent. While this forecast is better for Clinton than
FiveThirtyEight ’s, it’s still an increase for Trump and a slight slump for Clinton. The last time each candidate had those numbers was on October 11, according to
The Upshot. That was just after the second presidential debate and few days after the leak of a 2005 audio tape, when the world heard Trump tell Billy Bush that he grabs women "
by the pussy.""
"Yes, Trump might be happy about one poll that puts him one point ahead, but perhaps he should take a look at this
Moody’s Analytics model.
The model, which has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential race since 1980, predicts that Clinton will win next week. More specifically, the model forecasts that she’ll take 332 electoral votes, while Trump will receive 206. Swing states Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado and Florida are all set for Democratic victories, according to the model, which is based on three economic factors and three political factors."