Nate Silver Says Polls Could Be Wrong Again and Trump Can Win
lol... what wrong again. Why how could that be?
- texassapper
- 10-07-2020, 08:49 AM
- rexdutchman
- 10-07-2020, 08:57 AM
Oh shit Hillary didn't win ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
- winn dixie
- 10-07-2020, 09:25 AM
biden is in full scatology
- SpeedRacerXXX
- 10-07-2020, 04:21 PM
From FiveThirtyEight which is Silver's website. Biden wins in 84% of the scenarios.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Trump trails Biden by considerably more than he trailed Clinton in 2016. I doubt conditions will change much in 27 days but who knows?
Trump's approval rating on 538 is back in negative double digits. Even Rasmussen has Trump at -10 after being at +7 just last week.
In 2016 RCP had Clinton +3.2 on election day. She won by 2.1. Today Biden is up 9.7 and the margin is increasing, not decreasing as it was in 2016. It was 6.1 a week ago.
Yes, Trump can win. But I wouldn't bet the ranch on it.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Trump trails Biden by considerably more than he trailed Clinton in 2016. I doubt conditions will change much in 27 days but who knows?
Trump's approval rating on 538 is back in negative double digits. Even Rasmussen has Trump at -10 after being at +7 just last week.
In 2016 RCP had Clinton +3.2 on election day. She won by 2.1. Today Biden is up 9.7 and the margin is increasing, not decreasing as it was in 2016. It was 6.1 a week ago.
Yes, Trump can win. But I wouldn't bet the ranch on it.
- bb1961
- 10-07-2020, 04:29 PM
Didn't you lose the ranch in 2016 on your sure bet??
bitten couldn't lose with all the crowds and strong enthusiasm he has...no need to have an election. Just anoint him like hellory should have been...the left has been saying Trump isn't a "legitimate" President.
With the now proven russian hoax and the sham of an impeachment that has cost tax payers 100 of millions that should be grounds enough to crown bitten immediately!!
bitten couldn't lose with all the crowds and strong enthusiasm he has...no need to have an election. Just anoint him like hellory should have been...the left has been saying Trump isn't a "legitimate" President.
With the now proven russian hoax and the sham of an impeachment that has cost tax payers 100 of millions that should be grounds enough to crown bitten immediately!!
- Chung Tran
- 10-07-2020, 05:58 PM
Those Tweets are from 3 weeks ago, LOL. Trump has LOST a lot of ground since then. And millions of votes have been cast already.
Cling to your false hope, though.
I am seeing fewer Trump signs lately. Like some people have removed them from their yards. I see more from the local Republican, than for Trump. Unusual.
Cling to your false hope, though.
I am seeing fewer Trump signs lately. Like some people have removed them from their yards. I see more from the local Republican, than for Trump. Unusual.
- winn dixie
- 10-07-2020, 08:09 PM
Those Tweets are from 3 weeks ago, LOL. Trump has LOST a lot of ground since then. And millions of votes have been cast already.Trump signs are vandalized or stolen. Also in todays world if a person supports Trump they are labeled as racists!
Cling to your false hope, though.
I am seeing fewer Trump signs lately. Like some people have removed them from their yards. I see more from the local Republican, than for Trump. Unusual. Originally Posted by Chung Tran
- Levianon17
- 10-07-2020, 11:08 PM
Nate Silver Says Polls Could Be Wrong Again and Trump Can WinWhy should Biden win? He's dumb as shit and Kamala Harris is nothing but a corporate Office Whore and they don't even like each other. Two people working together that don't like each other seldom accomplish anything at all. It's too big a risk, fuck'em.
lol... what wrong again. Why how could that be? Originally Posted by texassapper
- Yssup Rider
- 10-07-2020, 11:53 PM
- adav8s28
- 10-08-2020, 12:06 AM
From FiveThirtyEight which is Silver's website. Biden wins in 84% of the scenarios.Good post Speedracer. Right now RCP has Biden +7 in Penn and +5 in Mich and Wisc. If Biden flips Penn Mich and Wisc, Biden get 270 and Trump goes home.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
Trump trails Biden by considerably more than he trailed Clinton in 2016. I doubt conditions will change much in 27 days but who knows?
Trump's approval rating on 538 is back in negative double digits. Even Rasmussen has Trump at -10 after being at +7 just last week.
In 2016 RCP had Clinton +3.2 on election day. She won by 2.1. Today Biden is up 9.7 and the margin is increasing, not decreasing as it was in 2016. It was 6.1 a week ago.
Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
- winn dixie
- 10-08-2020, 01:39 AM
The polls are being rigged by soros and china! Ya'll are like cats chasing a laser pointer! lolling
- Why_Yes_I_Do
- 10-08-2020, 05:22 AM
- Why_Yes_I_Do
- 10-08-2020, 05:34 AM
- Jacuzzme
- 10-08-2020, 06:25 AM
Trump's approval rating on 538 is back in negative double digits. Even Rasmussen has Trump at -10 after being at +7 just last week.In what world does a 17 point shift in one week seem plausible?
- SpeedRacerXXX
- 10-08-2020, 07:11 AM
Didn't you lose the ranch in 2016 on your sure bet??Yes I did. I was incorrect in 2016 and dead-on in 2018. However, I didn't bet on anything. I made an incorrect prediction.
bitten couldn't lose with all the crowds and strong enthusiasm he has...no need to have an election. Just anoint him like hellory should have been...the left has been saying Trump isn't a "legitimate" President.
With the now proven russian hoax and the sham of an impeachment that has cost tax payers 100 of millions that should be grounds enough to crown bitten immediately!!
As OEB has pointed out several times, election day in 26 days will be the ultimate determinator as to who leads the country over the next 4 years. At that point in time we can look back and determine the accuracy of the polls.