New analysis of rocket used in Syria chemical attack undercuts U.S. claims

I B Hankering's Avatar
Update:


New analysis of rocket used in Syria chemical attack undercuts U.S. claims


BERLIN — A series of revelations about the rocket believed to have delivered poison sarin gas to a Damascus suburb last summer are challenging American intelligence assumptions about that attack and suggest that the case U.S. officials initially made for retaliatory military action was flawed....

Separately, international weapons experts are puzzling over why the rocket in question – an improvised 330mm to 350mm rocket equipped with a large receptacle on its nose to hold chemicals – reportedly did not appear in the Syrian government’s declaration of its arsenal to the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons and apparently was not uncovered by OPCW inspectors who believe they’ve destroyed Syria’s ability to deliver a chemical attack....

“That failure to declare can mean different things,” said Ralf Trapp, an original member of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons and a former secretary of the group’s scientific advisory board. “It can mean the Syrian government doesn’t have them, or that they are hiding them....”

Relying on mathematical projections about the likely force of the rocket and noting that its design – some have described it as a trash can on a stick – would have made it awkward in flight, Lloyd and Postol conclude that the rocket likely had a maximum range of 2 kilometers, or just more than 1.2 miles. That range, the report explains in detail, means the rockets could not have come from land controlled by the Syrian government.

To emphasize their point, the authors used a map produced by the White House that showed which areas were under government and rebel control on Aug. 21 and where the chemical weapons attack occurred. Drawing circles around Zamalka to show the range from which the rocket could have come, the authors conclude that all of the likely launching points were in rebel-held areas or areas that were in dispute. The area securely in government hands was miles from the possible launch zones.

In an interview, Postol said that a basic analysis of the weapon – some also have described as a looking like a push pop, a fat cylinder filled with sarin atop a thin stick that holds the engine – would have shown that it wasn’t capable of flying the 6 miles from the center of the Syrian government-controlled part of Damascus to the point of impact in the suburbs, or even the 3.6 miles from the edges of government-controlled ground.

He questioned whether U.S. intelligence officials had actually analyzed the improbability of a rocket with such a non-aerodynamic design traveling so far before Secretary of State John Kerry declared on Sept. 3 that “we are certain that none of the opposition has the weapons or capacity to effect a strike of this scale – particularly from the heart of regime territory.”

“I honestly have no idea what happened,” Postol said. “My view when I started this process was that it couldn’t be anything but the Syrian government behind the attack. But now I’m not sure of anything. The administration narrative was not even close to reality. Our intelligence cannot possibly be correct.”

Lloyd, who has spent the past half-year studying the weapons and capabilities in the Syrian conflict, disputed the assumption that the rebels are less capable of making rockets than the Syrian military.

“The Syrian rebels most definitely have the ability to make these weapons,” he said. “I think they might have more ability than the Syrian government.”


Read more here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2014/01/1...#storylink=cpy
Yssup Rider's Avatar
What's your point, Dipshit of the Year?

Or are you just in a cutting and pasting mood tonight? for a change.
Guest123018-4's Avatar
Move along, no WMDs here......these are not the WMDs you are seeking........
Those aren't the WMDs that you are looking for...

Amateurish vehicle they used to deploy the gas.

What about the other two gas attacks before that one?
CJ7's Avatar
  • CJ7
  • 01-16-2014, 09:17 AM
good thing the US taxpayers spent $12 billion a month for well over a decade to stop that shit ain't it?
Yssup Rider's Avatar
well over a decade?
CJ7's Avatar
  • CJ7
  • 01-16-2014, 11:58 AM
well over a decade? Originally Posted by Yssup Rider
and built a billion dollar embassy with the change


the "war" war is officially over so to speak, but here we go

c/p


Of the nearly 1.6 million troops that have been discharged from the wars, over half have received Veterans' Affairs medical treatment and will also receive benefits for the rest of their lives. Those costs will stack up as more troops are discharged and need benefits. The study finds that providing medical and disability benefits to vets will eventually cost over $836 billion.
This long tail of spending follows a well-established historical trend, writes Bilmes: disability spending on World War I veterans hit its peak in 1969, and spending on World War II veterans was at its highest in the late 1980s.
There are other factors at play here, however: the military must also spend on replacing worn-out equipment and on interest on the cost of the wars. In addition, Congress ramped up spending on personnel and veterans during the wars, increasing pay for troops to counteract difficulties in recruitment and expanding the military's TRICARE healthcare system. Bilmes believes that spiraling costs may have the potential to change spending on veterans from a "sacred cow" to an area with real potential for deficit reduction
CuteOldGuy's Avatar
What's your point, Dipshit of the Year?

Or are you just in a cutting and pasting mood tonight? for a change. Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

Are you talking to yourself again, AssupRidee, DEM, DOTY 2013 & 2014?

Yssup Rider's Avatar
Are you talking to yourself again, AssupRidee, DEM, DOTY 2013 & 2014?

Originally Posted by CuteOldGuy
HA... We all know who's keeping hope alive, Salina...