Republicans Already Starting to Give Up Keeping Control of the House, Pulling Funding and Angering Vulnerable GOP Members

Yssup Rider's Avatar
Better dig deep fellas. Voting is already underway in some states. Texas in another week.

Batten down the hatches.

https://www.newsweek.com/republicans...-house-1170282

Republicans Already Starting to Give Up Keeping Control of the House, Pulling Funding and Angering Vulnerable GOP Members
But Trump ignores any predictions of a blue wave at the polls, telling supporters that "something big is happening" this election cycle.


October 15, 2018

With three weeks until the highly contested midterm elections, Republicans are beginning to withdraw their efforts to keep majority control of the House of Representatives.

Wealthy donors have started diverting resources away from GOP candidates who are seen as the most vulnerable heading to the polls this November.

These financiers are blaming the National Republican Congressional Committee, the official body responsible for helping to pick and elect candidates, which they say has failed to invest over $60 million worth of political advertising in 11 states with vulnerable candidates. So far, the committee has invested only $44.8 million in advertising for highly competitive races since the end of July.

These political operatives are already estimating that Democrats will defeat Republicans in a dozen races, according to a report by the Associated Press. That means that Democrats, who are working to regain control of the House, would be halfway toward their goal of flipping a total of 24 GOP-held seats.

Strategists and pollsters have predicted that Democrats could gain anywhere from 20 to 40 seats in the House. But the recent confirmation of President Donald Trump's Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, has energized the GOP base.

Polls conducted shortly after Kavanaugh's ascension to the high court show Republicans closing the gap on Democrats, with one Quinnipiac University survey in early October showing the GOP just 7 points behind in House races. Earlier this year, some polls showed Republicans as much as 14 points behind.

But even with the increased momentum heading into the midterms, Republicans are being outspent by Democrats by millions of dollars in political advertising and campaigning.

The Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC lead by House Speaker Paul Ryan, sent out a memo last week highlighting that in key House battles, Democrats were outspending Republicans by $50 million.

As of last week, in 80 races around the country, Democratic candidates have outspent their Republican opponents by $116 million to $66 million.

Trump has continued to ignore any predictions of a potential blue wave at the polls, telling supporters that "something big is happening" this election cycle. The president has been campaigning nearly nonstop for the past few weeks, holding rallies in West Virginia, Iowa, Minnesota, Ohio and elsewhere.

"The crowds at my Rallies are far bigger than they have ever been before, including the 2016 election. Never an empty seat in these large venues, many thousands of people watching screens outside. Enthusiasm & Spirit is through the roof. SOMETHING BIG IS HAPPENING - WATCH!" Trump wrote on Twitter on Monday morning.
bambino's Avatar
Yssup Rider's Avatar
So How do these GOP polls disprove the facts presented by the story?
skirtchaser79411's Avatar
They don't BACK THE BLUE IT IS COMING TO YOUR STATE SOON
bambino's Avatar
So How do these GOP polls disprove the facts presented by the story? Originally Posted by Yssup Rider
Rasmussen was closest to the outcomes of the 2016 elections. Newsweek is ready to shut itís doors.
SpeedRacerXXX's Avatar
[QUOTE=bambino;1060985155]And then there’s this:

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public..._told_us_oct13

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public...l_ballot_oct10[/QUOTE

Since Republicans tend to trust Fox News more than other data sources. Fox News predicts the House race as 191 "likely Democrat" and 16 as "Lean Democrat" for a total of 207. 171 "likely Republican" and 26 "Lean Republican" for a total of 197. 31 seats are considered "Toss ups". which means Democrats need only 11 of the 31 toss up seats to take control of the House. Then you add in the factor that more Republican seats (26) are considered "Lean" than Democratic seats (16) and that spells more trouble for the Republicans.

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018#

The latest generic ballot from Pew Research has Democrats +9. The ABC News/Washington Post poll from a few days ago has Democrats +13.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...eneric-ballot/

So keep your faith in Rasmussen. We'll see who is right in 22 days.
bambino's Avatar
[QUOTE=SpeedRacerXXX;1060986397]
And then there’s this:

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public..._told_us_oct13

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public...l_ballot_oct10[/QUOTE

Since Republicans tend to trust Fox News more than other data sources. Fox News predicts the House race as 191 "likely Democrat" and 16 as "Lean Democrat" for a total of 207. 171 "likely Republican" and 26 "Lean Republican" for a total of 197. 31 seats are considered "Toss ups". which means Democrats need only 11 of the 31 toss up seats to take control of the House. Then you add in the factor that more Republican seats (26) are considered "Lean" than Democratic seats (16) and that spells more trouble for the Republicans.

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018#

The latest generic ballot from Pew Research has Democrats +9. The ABC News/Washington Post poll from a few days ago has Democrats +13.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...eneric-ballot/

So keep your faith in Rasmussen. We'll see who is right in 22 days. Originally Posted by bambino
I think I will:

https://americanresearchgroup.com/ra...6/uspresident/

http://amp.dailycaller.com/2016/11/1...cording-to-rcp

But I see what I see. Just like the 2016 election. I make up my own mind.
the_real_Barleycorn's Avatar
The most thing is that democrats have 21 days to fuck themselves.

[QUOTE=SpeedRacerXXX;1060986397]
And then thereís this:

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public..._told_us_oct13

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public...l_ballot_oct10[/QUOTE

Since Republicans tend to trust Fox News more than other data sources. Fox News predicts the House race as 191 "likely Democrat" and 16 as "Lean Democrat" for a total of 207. 171 "likely Republican" and 26 "Lean Republican" for a total of 197. 31 seats are considered "Toss ups". which means Democrats need only 11 of the 31 toss up seats to take control of the House. Then you add in the factor that more Republican seats (26) are considered "Lean" than Democratic seats (16) and that spells more trouble for the Republicans.

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018#

The latest generic ballot from Pew Research has Democrats +9. The ABC News/Washington Post poll from a few days ago has Democrats +13.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...eneric-ballot/

So keep your faith in Rasmussen. We'll see who is right in 22 days. Originally Posted by bambino
SpeedRacerXXX's Avatar
[QUOTE=the_real_Barleycorn;1060 987202]The most thing is that democrats have 21 days to fuck themselves.

And there's 21 days for Trump to shoot off his mouth and piss off voters more than he's done so far. Which is a lot.