Former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker dies at 92

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Former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker dies at 92

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/f...140136898.html


Brian Cheung Reporter
December 9, 2019, 8:01 AM CST


Paul Volcker, the former Federal Reserve Chairman who tackled the Great Inflation by inspiring a rethink of monetary policy, died on Sunday at the age of 92, The New York Times reports, citing confirmation from his daughter, Janice Zima.


During his eight years at the helm of the central bank, Volcker endured a number of economic crises: rampant inflation, an unstable dollar, the Latin American sovereign debt crisis, and the collapse of Continental Illinois National Bank. Through it all, Volcker made quick use of the Fed’s toolbox, elevating the Fed to its modern-day reputation as the first responder to economic crises.


Volcker’s successors at the Fed remember him as a dedicated public servant.


Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in a statement that Volcker’s “contributions to the nation left a lasting legacy.” Powell’s predecessor, Janet Yellen, said she was inspired by Volcker’s “courage to do the right thing, even when it’s immensely unpopular.”


Having spent most of his career within the Federal Reserve System or at the U.S. Treasury, Volcker remained active in public service even after leaving the Fed in 1987. In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, Volcker controversially pushed for regulatory scrutiny of risky trading at the nation’s banks. The “Volcker rule” limitation on proprietary trading was a centerpiece of the post-crisis Dodd-Frank financial regulatory framework.



Former U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Paul A. Volcker speaks at a news conference in New York, U.S. on June 8, 2015. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo


In recent years, Volcker publicly lamented the state of current affairs, worrying that a deterioration in decorum in Washington, D.C. has eroded respect of the government and the central bank. For his part, Volcker wrote in his 2018 memoir “Keeping At It” that he felt comfortable with how he left the Fed.


“I could leave office with a sense of satisfaction that the Federal Reserve was a well-respected institution, capable of providing leadership in a never-ending effort to achieve and maintain financial stability,” Volcker wrote.


‘I need more’

Volcker was perhaps most known for his battle with inflation. Rising prices was an obsession since college.


In 1945, Volcker picked a fight with his mom over the $25-a-month allowance that he was going to receive once he started college at Princeton. Pointing out that his older sisters got the same amount of money when they went to college, Volcker argued that the weakened purchasing power of the dollar put him at a disadvantage.


“‘We’ve had inflation, mother, I need more,’” Volcker recalled in an interview with a Fed historian. “She said, ‘I don’t care.’”


As it happened, inflation was the primary problem when Volcker ascended to Fed chairman in 1979. He immediately inherited an economy where prices were inflating to the tune of nearly 10%.



Inflation was rapidly rising as Paul Volcker transitioned into the role of chairman of the Federal Reserve in 1979. Source: St. Louis Fed, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis


Volcker was eager to undo the passive monetary policies of his predecessor Arthur Burns, who was reluctant to counteract a devaluating dollar still reeling from the 1971 decision to end the dollar’s convertibility to gold, known as the “Nixon shock.”


Between 1975 and 1979, Volcker served as the president of the New York Fed, earning him a seat at the monetary policy-setting table. Volcker took issue with Burns’s “loose” monetary policy.


“When the Bretton Woods system was breaking down, Burns would be sitting there, saying, ‘I don’t want to do anything to the dollar,’” Volcker recounted in a 2008 interview. “I thought, ‘Well, go home and raise interest rates, do something to defend the dollar.’”


When Volcker took over an economy that, by extension, was suffering from rampant inflation, he moved quick to do exactly that. Within two months of becoming chairman, Volcker abruptly announced that the Fed would be shifting its focus from the level of the benchmark interest rate to the level of bank reserves in the system, referred to as the money supply.



Volcker dramatically increased interest rates to quell runaway inflation, creating his own monetary shock to the U.S. economy. Source: St. Louis Fed, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System


As a result, the federal funds rate ratcheted up quickly, from the already-high level of nearly 14% to almost 18% in April of 1980. Volcker had implemented an economic “shock” of its own, and the dramatically tight policy had begun pushing inflation back down that year.


The Milton Friedman-brand of monetarist theory helped guide the Fed until the early ‘90s, when changes in investment habits weakened the link between money supply changes and economic growth. In 1993, Alan Greenspan reverted to interest rate policies, believing it to be a better transmission device for tightening or loosening economic activity.


After the Fed

Volcker did not retire from the Fed quietly.


During the midst of the financial crisis, Volcker returned to government in a new role, serving as a chairperson of President Barack Obama’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board. In that role, Volcker pushed hard for a rule prohibiting banks from engaging in proprietary trading, believing that risky trades for short-term profits were at fault for the 2008 collapse.


The rule sparked a vicious battle on Capitol Hill, where opponents slammed it as government intervention in free markets. Volcker pushed ahead.


“Critics ask, ‘why are we wasting time on this?’ My answer to that: ‘if you don’t watch out, it’ll be the heart of the next crisis,’” Volcker has said.


Although the rule was ultimately passed into law as a part of the Dodd-Frank regulatory framework, regulators are still working on implementing it over 10 years out from the financial crisis.


In a cynical yet prophetic manner, Volcker recalled in 2010 that regulators would “never do it,” referring to regulators’ sluggish approach to new rules.


The episode reflected Volcker’s passion for public service, even beyond his time as Fed chair, as well as his pragmatic approach to public policy.


Volcker is survived by his two children from his first marriage and his wife, Anke Dening.
I read Keeping at It just a few months ago. An interesting and fascinating book. Highly recommend it.


Paul Volcker will go down in history as perhaps the most consequential -- and arguably best -- Fed chair in history.


Of course, he presided over a rather painful time, but stayed the course and was seen to have broken the back of inflation by 1983, after which the stage was set for a powerful and sustained recovery.


He recognized that a distasteful dose of curative medicine was urgently needed. Of course, it would have been nice if some preventive medicine had been applied approximately a decade earlier, but that was obviously not in the cards at the time.


William McChesney Martin, Jr. was Fed chairman from 1951 to 1970, and is considered by most students to be one of the best. He was the guy who famously said that a proper role of the Fed was to take away the punch bowl just when the party was beginning to really get going. Still, he admitted later that he had succumbed to presidential pressure.


Lyndon Johnson was famous for aggressively employing what was called the "Johnson treatment," when he would get in the face of a policymaker such as a Representative or Senator (or Fed chief), glare down at him, poke his finger in his chest, and demand that he sees things the prez's way.



Martin was called to visit LBJ at his Texas ranch, and the prez quickly went into action, looking down at Martin (Johnson, at 6' 3" or maybe just a fraction more, was clearly the tallest president since Lincoln). He said, "Bill, our boys are dying in Vietnam and people are suffering from poverty here at home, and you won't print us the money we need!"


But it's interesting to contemplate what might have taken place if the more resolute Volcker had been in office at the time. For one thing, LBJ would not have been able to "look down" at Volcker when they stood toe-to-toe, as he was so fond of doing. (The man some referred to as "Tall Paul" was 6' 7"!)


Additionally, I suspect that Volcker would have found a moderately polite way to tell LBJ to go fuck himself. (Or, at least, to fail to implement his dictates.)


Notwithstanding the fact that the Federal Reserve started to go off the rails a few more times in recent years, Volcker's actions ushered in an almost four-decade period of disinflation so far, and an incredibly long bull market in bonds.


That's one of the most important chapters in all of U.S. economic history.
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lustylad's Avatar
Hey Captain, what do you think of trumpy blasting our current Fed chief, Jerome Powell, the guy he nominated for the job, on twitter and at rallies? Makes me cringe!

Also, do you think Volker's contributions to Dodd-Frank were helpful and well-conceived? They named the Volker Rule after him, but I get the impression it squeezed liquidity too much and suffocated market-making in many financial instruments. Ergo, it was subsequently relaxed.
dilbert firestorm's Avatar
Volker was a never trumper. before he died, he penned an article in sept. criticizing trump.
The_Waco_Kid's Avatar
Volker was a never trumper. before he died, he penned an article in sept. criticizing trump. Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm


https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/11/paul...mining-us.html



“Nihilistic forces are dismantling policies to protect our air, water, and climate,” Volcker wrote at the end of “Keeping At It: The Quest for Sound Money and Good Government.” “And they seek to discredit the pillars of our democracy: voting rights and fair elections, the rule of law, the free press, the separation of powers, the belief in science, and the concept of truth itself.”


Volcker is full of shit here. he was a Democrat. that's what they always say. belief in science and climate change is a contradiction in terms. i presume he approved of Obama's strangling of business by over-regulation .. how'd that work out for the economy?
HoeHummer's Avatar
So he was a smart guy, yes? A wise economic mind, eh? But accordings to yous, he became a piece of shit when he criticized Trump, one of the greatest business minds the worlds has ever seen?

Gots it! LOLLING!
The_Waco_Kid's Avatar
So he was a smart guy, yes? A wise economic mind, eh? But accordings to yous, he became a piece of shit when he criticized Trump, one of the greatest business minds the worlds has ever seen?

Gots it! LOLLING! Originally Posted by HoeHummer



in other news Yssup Rider is still BANNED.