U.S. nonfarm payrolls increase by the most in 10 months

  • oeb11
  • 12-06-2019, 10:52 AM
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/mark...OkW?li=BBnbfcN


U.S. job growth increased by the most in 10 months in November as former striking workers returned to General Motors' payrolls and the healthcare industry stepped up hiring, confirming that the economy remained on a moderate expansion path despite a prolonged manufacturing slump.

The Labor Department's closely watched monthly employment report on Friday showed steady wage gains and the unemployment rate falling back to 3.5%.
The report validates the Federal Reserve's decision last month to cut interest rates for the third time this year, but signal a pause in the easing cycle that started in July when it reduced borrowing costs for the first time since 2008. U.S. central bank policymakers are expected to highlight the economy's resilience when they meet on Dec. 10-11.
Recent reports on the trade deficit, housing and orders for big-ticket goods have offered a fairly upbeat assessment of the economy, but trade tensions continue to loom over the longest expansion, now in its 11th year.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 266,000 jobs last month, with manufacturing recouping all the 43,000 positions lost in October, the government's survey of establishments showed.
Employment growth was also boosted by a gain of 60,200 healthcare workers. That lifted job growth well above its monthly average of 180,000 this year. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising by 180,000 jobs in November.
The economy created 41,000 more jobs in September and October than previously estimated. The 40-day strike by about 46,000 workers at GM plants in Michigan and Kentucky restricted employment gains to 156,000 jobs in October.
Manufacturing activity contracted for a fourth straight month in November. The factory malaise has been blamed on the Trump administration's 17-month trade war with China, which has bruised business confidence and undercut capital expenditure.
Though Washington and Beijing are working on a "phase one" trade deal, the United States has ratcheted up tensions with other trade partners including Brazil, Argentina and France. President Donald Trump said on Thursday the United States was having meetings and discussions with China "that are going well."
Economic growth estimates for the fourth quarter are converging around a 1.8% annualized rate. The economy grew at a 2.1% pace in the third quarter. Economists estimate the speed at which the economy can grow over a long period without igniting inflation at between 1.7% and 2%.
The surge in November payrolls defied an Institute for Supply Management survey showing a measure of manufacturing employment contracted in November for the fourth straight month. It also confounded the ADP National Employment report showing a sharp deceleration in private payrolls growth last month and consumers' perceptions of the labor market were less upbeat.
But cooler-than-normal temperatures in November curbed hiring at construction sites and mines.
Though the labor market remains resilient despite the business investment downturn, hiring has slowed from last year's average monthly gain of 223,000 because of ebbing demand and a shortage of workers. The government has said it could cut job growth for the 12 months through March 2019 by at least 500,000 jobs when it publishes its annual revision next February.
Still job creation is well over the roughly 100,000 jobs per month needed to keep up with growth in the working-age population. The unemployment rate fell one-tenth of a percentage point last month from 3.6% percent in October as people left the labor force.
The smaller household survey from which the unemployment rate is derived also showed a modest job gain last month.
A broader measure of unemployment, which includes people who want to work but have given up searching and those working part-time because they cannot find full-time employment, fell to 6.9% last month from 7.0% in October.
The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, dipped to 63.2% from more than a six-year high of 63.3% in October.
The tight labor market is generating steady wage gains. Average hourly earnings rose seven cents, or 0.2%, after increasing 0.4% in October. Wages rose 3.1% in November from 3.2% in October.
Manufacturing employment rebounded by 54,000 jobs last month as GM strike returnees boosted payrolls in the auto sector. Snow storms in the Midwest and cold weather restricted construction hiring to only 1,000 jobs.
Government employment increased by 12,000 jobs.



Bad news for the recession praying for DPST's!!!
The only bad thing in the report is the increase in Government jobs - more damn bureaucrats for the DPST's.
SpeedRacerXXX's Avatar
Seems like you accentuated the positives and ignored the negatives in the report. Yes, jobs are up, due quite a bit to the end of the GM strike. However. . .

"Manufacturing activity contracted for a fourth straight month in November. The factory malaise has been blamed on the Trump administration's 17-month trade war with China, which has bruised business confidence and undercut capital expenditure."

"Economic growth estimates for the fourth quarter are converging around a 1.8% annualized rate. The economy grew at a 2.1% pace in the third quarter. Economists estimate the speed at which the economy can grow over a long period without igniting inflation at between 1.7% and 2%."

Didn't Trump consistently complain about the economy not being able to hit a 3.0% or higher GDP under Obama?

"Though the labor market remains resilient despite the business investment downturn, hiring has slowed from last year's average monthly gain of 223,000 because of ebbing demand and a shortage of workers."

The positive affects of the tax breaks are slowing. If Trump can settle the trade war with China before the 2020 election it will benefit him in his reelection bid. If not, and the economy continues to slow, Trump will be in trouble.
  • oeb11
  • 12-06-2019, 11:51 AM
SR - the economy has done much better than it would have under H....
My opinion.

Why are liberals always looking for the lead lining in any news - accentuate the negative for Nov 2020???
SR - the economy has done much better than it would have under H....
My opinion.

Why are liberals always looking for the lead lining in any news - accentuate the negative for Nov 2020??? Originally Posted by oeb11
Because good news goes against their big government/socialist/we know best dogma.
is the left and their news media still attempting to scare americans into a recession?
  • oeb11
  • 12-06-2019, 12:12 PM
Evidently

Praying for recession - Impeachment ain't going to install H.... in the Oval Office!!
eccieuser9500's Avatar
SR - the economy has done much better than it would have under H....
My opinion.

Why are liberals always looking for the lead lining in any news - accentuate the negative for Nov 2020??? Originally Posted by oeb11
Evidently

Praying for recession - Impeachment ain't going to install H.... in the Oval Office!! Originally Posted by oeb11
Poor little, little crying fuckin' hypocrite.

AWWWW - Poor DPST's complaining about their own lack of "Diversity"
They face a POTUS they are Impeaching - what is to worry????
Not enough candidates of color - and of course - the DPSY's aren't RACIST about their platform. Sure looks like they don't like their white candidates.

Of course - Warren is 1/1024 "Indian" - although he tests are South American DNA - she can put on a sombrero and spout - Ai, ai , ai , ai!!!
Poor Racist DPST's
- stuck with old , senile, angry white folks as the "White Meat Alternative " to Trump!


LOL Originally Posted by oeb11











Chung Tran's Avatar
the stock market reaction is so different now. during Bush and Obama, today's report would have driven down the averages on fears of an interest rate hike, after such a strong and unexpected jobs report. today it spikes higher, NOBODY believes interest rates will ever creep off the bottom. in fact, Trump himself smiles when someone mentions negative interest rates.
SpeedRacerXXX's Avatar
SR - the economy has done much better than it would have under H....
My opinion.

Why are liberals always looking for the lead lining in any news - accentuate the negative for Nov 2020??? Originally Posted by oeb11
You are the one who cited the report which contained both positive and negative news. You do understand that that is what politics is all about. There are almost always 2 sides to each issue and depending on which party you support, that determines the side one takes.

I have a rather Conservative friend on Facebook and he essentially said that whatever Trump's stance on issues is is his stance on issues.
  • oeb11
  • 12-06-2019, 01:50 PM
Poor little, little crying fuckin' hypocrite.














Originally Posted by eccieuser9500

95 turkeys understands not the definition of the word Hypocrite!
the stock market reaction is so different now. during Bush and Obama, today's report would have driven down the averages on fears of an interest rate hike, after such a strong and unexpected jobs report. today it spikes higher, NOBODY believes interest rates will ever creep off the bottom. in fact, Trump himself smiles when someone mentions negative interest rates. Originally Posted by Chung Tran
That's because Fed Chair Powell lowered rates recently and promised for a while not to raise them.

Eventually rates will go up. Free money is once again getting pumped into the economy. It can't last forever. Enjoy.

Don't be like WTF and complain about the "sugar rush."
the stock market reaction is so different now. during Bush and Obama, today's report would have driven down the averages on fears of an interest rate hike, after such a strong and unexpected jobs report. today it spikes higher, NOBODY believes interest rates will ever creep off the bottom. in fact, Trump himself smiles when someone mentions negative interest rates. Originally Posted by Chung Tran
Negative interest rates are weird.
rexdutchman's Avatar
The LSM will "overlook" any good
WTF's Avatar
  • WTF
  • 12-07-2019, 03:26 PM
That's because Fed Chair Powell lowered rates recently and promised for a while not to raise them.

Eventually rates will go up. Free money is once again getting pumped into the economy. It can't last forever. Enjoy.

Don't be like WTF and complain about the "sugar rush." Originally Posted by gnadfly
I'm explaining to you numbnuts not complaining.

Where is that 3% growth lustylad and bambino kept harping on?
WTF's Avatar
  • WTF
  • 12-07-2019, 03:30 PM
Negative interest rates are weird. Originally Posted by friendly fred
Yet Trump has called for them!

It is also weird for dipshits like you and Trump to brag about the economy on one hand and scream for lower rates on the other.

All it is doing is creating a bubble. Hopefully our resident braggadocio millionaire WackoKid will get caught long when the bubble busts. Tired of hearing about his 401k!