Moderna expects to have enough cases to evaluate how effective their vaccine is by end of Dec 2020. If all goes well perhaps a vaccine will be approved by spring 2021.
https://www.livescience.com/moderna-...e=notification
bet that virus will be gone before they could use that vaccine. Originally Posted by dilbert firestormCurrently there is about 7 million people in the USA with symptoms. Assuming the ratio of asymptomatic people to people with symptoms is 10 to 1 approximately 70,000,000 in the USA are infected. There are 330,000,000 people in the USA. Which means approximately 21% of the USA population has been infected with CV19.
Currently there is about 7 million people in the USA with symptoms. Assuming the ratio of asymptomatic people to people with symptoms is 10 to 1 approximately 70,000,000 in the USA are infected. There are 330,000,000 people in the USA. Which means approximately 21% of the USA population has been infected with CV19.
In order to reach Herd Immunity at least 70% of the population needs to be infected. 70% of 330,000,000 need to be infected. So about 231,000,000 people in the USA need to be infected to reach Herd immunity. Going from 70 million to 231 million infected, is a long way to go. Moderna will probably get the vaccine approved before Herd Immunity in the USA is reached. The assumption is Moderna can prove that their vaccine is effective in December 2020. I bet Oeb11 would agree with that.
https://virusncov.com/ Originally Posted by adav8s28
interesting source you found. are ya going to buy them some coffee?Don't like the other link? Use this link. For active cases it has the same number, 7 million people.
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BAHHAHHAAAAAAAA Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
Don't like the other link? Use this link. For active cases it has the same number, 7 million people.
https://cv19.org/stats/ Originally Posted by adav8s28
here's a few links for youWaco, you do realize I posted the same thing. I posted assume the ratio of the number of asymptomatic people to symptomatic people to be 10 to 1. Your link from the CDC is saying the same thing that I posted.
CDC chief says coronavirus cases may be 10 times higher than reported
https://www.washingtonpost.com/healt...-times-larger/
Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
Waco, you do realize I posted the same thing. I posted assume the ratio of the number of asymptomatic people to symptomatic people to be 10 to 1. Your link from the CDC is saying the same thing that I posted.
The point is (which you left out) to reach Herd Immunity about 210 million people in the USA need to be infected. We are at least 140 million people from that.
If Moderna's trials go well in Dec 2020, vaccine will be approved before Herd Immunity is reached. Originally Posted by adav8s28
Do you have a link for the above statement? Why is the CDC predicting 300,000 deaths by mid Oct 2020? That's an increase of 100,000 deaths over the 200,000 deaths that we are at now. Those 200,000 deaths occurred with just 21% of the USA population being infected. World wide you have 800,000 deaths on approximately 270,000,000 million people being infected (which is bout 70% the population of the USA). Maddow's numbers are too high. My numbers are tracking to world wide numbers. I used a realistic death rate in the equation that the Stanford professor Iovannis uses.
never happen. why? it's mutating itself out of existence. Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid
Do you have a link for the above statement? Why is the CDC predicting 300,000 deaths by mid Oct 2020? That's an increase of 100,000 deaths over the 200,000 deaths that we are at now. Those 200,000 deaths occurred with just 21% of the USA population being infected. World wide you have 800,000 deaths on approximately 270,000,000 million people being infected (which is bout 70% the population of the USA). Maddow's numbers are too high. My numbers are tracking to world wide numbers. I used a realistic death rate in the equation that the Stanford professor Iovannis uses.
Originally Posted by adav8s28
since you ask .. i have an expert .. and not the Chinese lady (MD. PhD) who claims the same thing .. this guy.Where is part about CV19 mutating into something else? It's mutating to a degree that it stops trying to latch on to a person's lung cells and take over the it's biochemistry to make that sticky substance so you can't breath? Where was that? I didn't see that.
a Nobel Laureate .. Luc Montagnier
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luc_Montagnier
Coronavirus pandemic
Montagnier argued that the COVID-19 pandemic was man-made in a laboratory and that it might have been the result of an attempt to create a vaccine for HIV/AIDS. His allegation came after the United States had launched a probe into whether the virus came from a laboratory. According to Montagnier, the "presence of elements of HIV and germ of malaria in the genome of coronavirus is highly suspect and the characteristics of the virus could not have arisen naturally."[45] However this was described as "a conspiracy vision that does not relate to the real science" by Jean-Francois Delfraissy, an immunologist and head of the scientific council that advises the French government on the COVID-19 pandemic.[46] An article in the magazine The Wire explained how scientists refuted his claim.[47]
BAHAHAHHAAAAAA Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid