Sorry Marshall! LOL
Morris warns of 'danger signs' for Romney; Obama polls benefit from Sandy
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Only two days after declaring that Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney will “win in a landslide”, Republican strategist and Fox News contributor Dick Morris unexpectedly raced to revise his assessment of the 2012 race, warning of “sudden danger signs” in recent polling.
On November 2, Morris issued his dire pronouncement for the former Massachusetts governor's campaign, regarding the state of the race as grave for Romney, based on new polling of likely voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports in the wake of Hurricane Sandy.
Specifically, Morris cites similar poll movement in the final weekend before both the 2000 and 1992 presidential elections, attributing the aftermath of the storm to creating a backdrop of uncertainty and peril for Romney’s snakebitten campaign, while simultaneously enhancing President Barack Obama's favorable ratings with voters.
After clarifying the effect last-minute changes in polls can have on election outcomes, Morris raises his newfound distress over Romney losing the election in the final weekend by saying:“With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48. That is troublesome.”Morris regards the most recent state polling by Rasmussen to be even more foreboding for Romney’s fading electoral prospects, when he warns, “And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied. We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan.”
The greatest concern cited by Morris is the increase in President Barack Obama’s favorability rating in the days since Hurricane Sandy struck the northeastern region of the United States.
“More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll,” Morris continued in his statement, before reaching the conclusion, “All of these changes are, no doubt, related to Hurricane Sandy.”
Only two days before, on the Fox News program “The O’Reilly Factor”, Morris boldly declared that Romney would defeat President Barack Obama in a landslide. Morris told host Bill O’Reilly that flawed polling methodology was to blame for polls showing Obama with leads in several battleground states.
“In Florida, the Times says Obama is going to win by 1. But their sample has 7 points more Democrats than Republicans,” Morris complained to the popular talk-show host O’Reilly, according to a transcript on Real Clear Politics.
Morris is a well-respected Republican political consultant who catapulted to national fame as former Democrat President Bill Clinton’s campaign manager in the 1996 election, helping the incumbent overcome a politically devastating mid-term election only two years before to win a second-term in the White House.
UPDATE - 11/04/2012: Karl Rove is saying something similar about Romney's electoral chances. Read about it here.