Ah yes, denial. Yet another common liberal trait.
Well, as you stated, we will see.
By the way...
Have you checked the President's job approval rating in the thirteen swing states recently?
Originally Posted by Mokoa
mokoa, don't cite polls you don't know how to read and if you notice, I don't use them either.
Polls are very complex and by themselves don't mean anything. You have to look at demographics and how large the poll was(number of people called), what age group was called, were they called at home or on a cell phone, was it a robocall or was it from a call center, what was the ethnic make up of those called, what was in the script, was a primary being held in that state? and who conducted the poll and who sponsored it and then you have to look at trend lines and over what period are those trend lines, was Obama on the campaign trail in any of those states etc etc etc…. See what I mean?
It's incredibly complex and really the only person right now that has command of this stuff is Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com/NewYorkTimes. He has an incredible story and those that are baseball fans should know who he is, Wiki him for his profile, he's an amazing individual
I know you probably saw a Gallup/USAtoday poll that says Obama is down but then look at this that just came out, here's a perfect example of what I'm talking about from PPP:
"This is an improvement of four or five points for Obama over both Romney and Gingrich since PPP last polled the state last September. Then the president trailed Romney by four, while Gingrich lagged behind Obama by two points. The president was also behind Romney by one to six points in three polls from November 2010 to May 2011.
Four months ago, Romney and Gingrich were roughly as well-liked (or disliked) as they are now. The surge for the president in his standings against them is of his own doing.
His net disapproval margin has been halved from ten to five points, with 45% now approving and 50% still disapproving, versus 43-53.
“It’s been a good week for Barack Obama in our polling,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “He’s leading Mitt Romney nationally and in Ohio, and now tied with him in Missouri. The big question is whether this is just a State of the Union bounce or something that might prove to be more long lasting.”
PPP surveyed 582 Missouri voters from January 27th to 29th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.1%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.
PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates."
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/p..._MO_020212.pdf