Nope; just an observation that ex-presidents are best off staying out of current issues, especially hot button ones. Whether that is Carter, Clinton, Bush I, or Bush II. If asked for advice by the current administration they should give it privately. JMHO Originally Posted by discreetgentI strongly agree. Other than Jimmy Carter, recent presidents have been pretty good at refraining from rebuking their successors and at staying away from hot-button issues. That way they avoid looking bitter or petty. But Carter is almost as much an embarrassment as ex-president as he was a disaster as president.
The following is a response to my question regarding how he thinks Obama plans to get us out of our brewing fiscal crisis:
It is called a business cycle. That is what will happen. Obama has nothing to do with it. Originally Posted by WTFIn ordinary circumstances, that would be the answer -- but I'm afraid it's not likely to work out that way this time.
The government is writing checks its revenue structure can't even come within a trillion dollars a year of covering. An upswing in the business cycle will not even come close to alleviating the problem. We already had a large structural deficit even before the layering on of all that ineffective "stimulus" spending and new health care entitlement expansions.
Just as Jimmy Carter did in 1977, Obama inherited a bad situation. In fact, our situation now -- in my opinion -- is far more serious than the dollar weakness and inflation problems we faced in 1977. Yet just as Carter spent the first two-thirds of his term making the problem far worse, Obama seems intent on pressing his overarching agenda even if it blows up the deficit to even more frightening proportions.
Oddly enough, we're being (temporarily) bailed out by the European fiscal crisis. Money running for safe havens has poured into U.S. treasuries, driving the yield on the 10-year down to about 3.26% (it touched 4% in April). But that situation won't last forever. We'll soon see that the international credit markets don't have an unlimited appetite for net new treasury issuance.
The further the can is kicked down the road, the worse the crisis will be when it finally comes. These things tend to rear their ugly heads quite suddenly, too. The dollar, and eventually the economy, is at great risk of being swamped by a tsunami of spending and deficits.
Odds are he will win a whole lot less in 2012 unless this cart gets out of the ditch pretty damn soon. Originally Posted by pjorourkeThe outlook for that is pretty uncertain since he now seems intent on plunging the cart even deeper into the ditch!
P.J., I think you hit the nail on the head earlier when you said that Obama's best hope for re-election is for Pelosi's majority to get drummed out of office. I'm not sure Obama would move toward the center quite like Clinton did after 1995, but a 1994-style housecleaning might force enough fiscal restraint that at least some of the most ruinous plans would be killed stone dead. Congress could simply refuse to appropriate money for them.