I saw a report that Russia appears plan to have another bite of the ukraine apple. they're building 500,000 man army for the 2nd wave inside russia. when they'll launch the 2nd wave is prolly in late winter.
conditions in Ukr is a muddy mess.
it also looks like the russians have started to clean up their air war tactics are standoff firing missiles at a higher altitude and distance where the ukr AA batteries can't reach them.
I don't have a link for this story, if I find it. i'll post it.
Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm
The rumor mill on Russian social media is that they're going to mobilize that number of men this month with the intent to conduct another assault against northern Ukraine later this winter. Other possibilities include reinforcing positions in the Donbass and Luhansk areas.
A good percentage of these conscripts have been under supplied and under trained. Those who do get supplied receive supplies from decades old stockpiles. This includes vehicles. Even though they are promised 21 days of training, or a couple months of training, many of them are being rushed to the front lines with just very few days of training.
Meanwhile, Ukraine is getting advanced weaponry from the west, and the soldiers that they mobilized in the beginning of the war are getting trained by Western nations. As this war drags on, the advantage shifts further towards Ukraine and away from Russia.
Overall, whatever they can muster up to send on a second rush on Ukraine is doomed to disaster. Ukraine will have a better experience, training and equipment compared to the Russians rushing in with little to no experience with many using old Soviet era equipment.
The Russian Air Force using larger distance to fire is something that happened a few months ago, and has gotten worse. This happened in Afghanistan in the 1980s.
Even the Russians are starting to raise an alarm, with one official accusing the West of waging war against Russia with the intent of disintegrating it and reducing Russia to the size it was in the late 15th century. Even they see the writing on the wall, just like with the failure in Afghanistan, their failure in Ukraine is going to leave them in a condition to where the chances that they disintegrate is elevated.