Care to make a prediction on how many in this country will be dead in six months from Ebola? That was the question.
Or do you just want to talk shit and turn this into a political blame game?
I agreed with boardman and think one needs to educate yourself on the subject matter.
After doing just a little bit it wasn't hard for me to make a prediction. Are you to Chickenshit to do so?
Originally Posted by WTF
You're being obnoxious.
What is the basis for saying 10 or 12? Did you pick that up from a source that is using Michael Duncan as the index patient? Did they extrapolate a worst case of 12 based on how many people came in contact with Duncan and the two nurses?
Neither you nor they have any idea how many more infected people will come into the country in the next 6 months.
Even if no one beyond the two nurses gets sick from Micheal Duncan, we could easily get 15 or 20 more who arrive here already carrying Ebola in the next 6 months. Do they count as US cases or not?
Ebola virus is in all bodily fluids, including semen. If some sick guy gets a HJ in an Asian massage parlor, what then? They aren't the most sanitary places to begin with. Once the girls start coughing on each other and the customers, what then? Those are instanced where the girls won't be quick to seek medical attention (no money) and contacts will be difficult to trace (for obvious reasons).
Then we could see many dozens of cases.
Or, if it doesn't happen, then zero.
But, I can see the TV reports now:
"The police have asked that any clients who visited the Asian Sun "health spa" in the last three weeks seek medical help immediately. All screening is free and all client names will be kept confidential.
But, just in case, bring your wife in with you."
Do they have that scenario built into their computer models?
The thing is, there are too many unknowns that can wildly affect the outcome. Right now, it is baseless speculation.
But if a bad case like that occurs in Korea town, I can predict that the administration and health authorities will say it was an outlier - a fluke situation that should never have occurred and really shouldn't be counted.
If Ebola gets loose in the underworld, there will be a lot more cases than anticipated, because those are the types of people who don't exactly follow protocols and are hesitant to deal with the authorities.