Let's Put COVID-19 In Perspective

Regardless of conjecture, you can't compare rates of acceleration and values for two entirely different conditions. There is zero equivalance between heart disease and Corona.

While the efficacy of social distancing is unknown, it's been proven around the globe throughout decades worth of outbreaks. It's not even remotely new.

In terms of the impact on rural MO, the total infections would look different, but rate of acceleration would still be high.

So yes, we have no idea how many would actually die, but we can estimate that the numbers would be significant based on the ability for social distancing to have known impacts on rate limiting.
  • GCW
  • 04-05-2020, 11:10 AM
I see several, potential Darwin award winners here!!
Unique_Carpenter's Avatar
I still don’t get how social distancing is anything more then a suggestion on what to do when left with the worst case scenario of being near others. We already know that breathing is the primary way it’s being spread. If I’m six feet away from you yet I occupy the same space you did within x amount of time I am probably at a high risk of exposure. Social distancing is giving people a false sense of security in my own opinion.
Less than 72hrs after OP started this thread, the number of dead has almost doubled; from ~5,500 to ~10,800.


Looking at Spain and Italy, we know that number could be north of 40,000.


Without any preventative measures? 30,000,000 at a minimum.
TailHooked's Avatar
It is a sobering thought. With all that modern medicine has done, it has left a large percentage of people alive, who 100yrs ago would be dead. Back then there was no penicillin. There were machines to keep you alive. The strongest survived. It has been the same since the dawn of time. Nature is weeding us out. Those that survived the virus, will be stronger for it.
  • GCW
  • 04-07-2020, 10:00 AM
For some, survival is just a matter of luck, for now!
I had no idea this silly hooker message board community had so many experts in the fields of medicine, contagious viruses and healthcare.

May I pass along y'alls handles to Dr Fauci, the Trumpster and the health departments in Kansas and Missouri in case they need to consult with some of you?


Cherokeechief's Avatar
I'm just gonna stay calm and see what happens. The numbers are far less than originally predicted. Nobody knows for sure. I looked up and I found out the sky isn't falling. Panic can do a lot of damage.
They'll get it done. My 2 cents.
I had no idea this silly hooker message board community had so many experts in the fields of medicine, contagious viruses and healthcare.

May I pass along y'alls handles to Dr Fauci, the Trumpster and the health departments in Kansas and Missouri in case they need to consult with some of you?


Originally Posted by scorpio31
+1000
Unique_Carpenter's Avatar
Let's just call in the fav Brit invasion fleet for enforcement:
Cherokeechief's Avatar
UC LMAO Who do you call?
Unique_Carpenter's Avatar
UC LMAO Who do you call? Originally Posted by Cherokeechief
The Doctor from Gallifrey
JRLawrence's Avatar
I'm just gonna stay calm and see what happens. The numbers are far less than originally predicted.
Nobody knows for sure. I looked up and I found out the sky isn't falling. Panic can do a lot of damage.
They'll get it done. My 2 cents. Originally Posted by Cherokeechief
The sentence should be worded projected, not predicted: great difference in meaning.

The intent of the shutdown was to change the projected figure by lowering the number of deaths. That has already happened. Thank you Donald Trump for supporting the Center for Disease Control and all the other health authorities in there efforts.
The sentence should be worded projected, not predicted: great difference in meaning.

The intent of the shutdown was to change the projected figure by lowering the number of deaths. That has already happened. Thank you Donald Trump for supporting the Center for Disease Control and all the other health authorities in there efforts. Originally Posted by JRLawrence
Yes. Thank you Trump for breaking all the records globally for infected and making us well on our way to number one for death count! If you should thank anyone it should be the governors and mayor who actually took action state by state.

Anyway. The curve flattening is meaningless if everybody just suddenly goes back to business as usual in a few weeks. I’m really not sure what the long game here is, because it seems like once people stop being careful this thing could spiral out of control again very quickly.