MR Giz..............''shifting the tax burden'' is what the tax should be called.The notion that rising income inequality in the U.S. was caused by "tax cuts for the wealthy" seems to be a popular (and enduring) myth, but it's completely false. In fact, multiple rounds of tax-cutting in the early '80s and early '00s largely removed the income tax burden from the bottom half of the income strata. (Rising inequality has mostly arisen from "globalization" and the shrinkage of our manufacturing base.)
Reagan did that in the early eighties. You have seen the resulting disparity (read widening) in income gaps in the country since then. Originally Posted by WTF
The "Fair Tax" might be an interesting idea if spending had not exploded from 2001 levels. It comports with the simple principle that it's better -- and produces fewer distortions -- to tax consumption rather than income and capital formation. Now the Fair Tax couldn't even come remotely close to paying the bills. (Note that the federal budget has doubled since 2001.)
The task policymakers now face is how to extract large sums of money from the middle class in a non-politically suicidal way. I think that's what Obama's new deficit-reduction commission is all about. (A prominent fund manager recently referred to it as the "VAT-recommendation" commission.) Politicians need political cover before raising taxes on the non-affluent.
Last year's attempt to sneak a big tax increase on the middle class through the back door (cap-and-trade) is dead in the water, at least for now. And Obama backed himself into a corner with his promise to restict tax increases to those earning more than $250K -- but that would be unlikely to raise more than a nickel of every deficit dollar.
The simple fact is that Obama and congressional leaders need political cover for a huge tax increase on the middle class. No school of economic thought (classical, Austrian, Keynesian, or anything else) holds that it's even remotely acceptable to run fiscal deficits approaching or exceeding 10% of GDP with no end in sight and no credible plan for eliminating them.
My prediction is that Americans will soon be saying hello to the Value Added Tax.