Rasmussen’s Top Pollster Predicts a Trump Landslide

When has Rasmussen been wrong?

there's nothing "biased" about Rasmussen and Lichtman will be wrong. for the second time. Originally Posted by The_Waco_Kid

Rasmussen is considered a lean-right poll and has not been included in 538's polling aggregate due to that bias.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...n-538-polling/

Yesterday a poll in Iowa had Harris +3. I don't believe it.

The most accurate polls over time come from the NY Times/Sienna.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/u...iena-poll.html

Rasmussen is considered a lean-right poll and has not been included in 538's polling aggregate due to that bias.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...n-538-polling/

Yesterday a poll in Iowa had Harris +3. I don't believe it.

The most accurate polls over time come from the NY Times/Sienna.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/u...iena-poll.html Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX

+1

Good post Speedracer. From the NYTimes link:

Both candidates have multiple pathways available to capture the 270 Electoral College votes required to claim victory, assuming that polls are not dramatically underestimating the support for one or the other. In such a close race, even a small systemic polling error could tip the contest decisively in either direction.

But there are signs that late deciders are breaking for Ms. Harris: Among the 8 percent of voters who said they had only recently decided on their vote, she wins the group by 55 percent to 44 percent. (With Election Day nearing, 11 percent of voters remained undecided or persuadable, down from 16 percent about a month ago.)

The polling comes as more than 70 million Americans have already voted, according to the University of Florida Election Lab.

Roughly 40 percent of those surveyed by the Times/Siena poll across the seven states said they had voted. Ms. Harris wins those voters by a margin of eight percentage points, the polls found. Mr. Trump has an edge among voters who say they are highly likely to vote but have not yet cast a ballot.

Totally different from what Rasmussen predicts.

Latest from ABC/538, DJT for the win:

https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1853430560716185738

Why don’t you post the ABC link rather than the spin on X?

Why don’t you post the ABC link rather than the spin on X? Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

Here you go..
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/

Odds are from the top of the page and
battleground graphic is from the middle of the page

Yeah, that indicates a dead heat. Maybe that’s why the spin on X was so exciting for you.

Make sure you get out and vote early!

Why don’t you post the ABC link rather than the spin on X? Originally Posted by Yssup Rider

Why don't you post the link to the Always Been Clinton (ABC) version?

I think that the closeness of the 538 polls will show that this is gonna be a long day for both teams. I'd say that the betters are wrong on percentages and also going to be surprised at the end results. I'd hope that the outcome will be more decisive, but it's likely going to be just more fodder for wrong-doings.

Who wins PA will take the rest of the it in my opinion.