Good point Biggest.
Notice also (with some calculation), the gdp predictions are:
2009 - $14.2 trillion -
2010 - $14.6 trillion - 2.8% growth
2011 - $15.3 trillion - 4.8% growth
2012 - $16.1 trillion - 5.2% growth
2013 - $17.1 trillion - 6.2% growth
2014 - $18.2 trillion - 6.4% growth
2015 - $19.2 trillion - 5.5% growth
or an average of 5.2% growth.
These are the laughable estimates that the CBO is using to forecast our deficits and debt
. How in the hell are we going to hit those targets. For comparison, lets look at the often cited Clinton years:
1993 - $6.6 trillion
1994 - $7.0 trillion - 6.1% growth
1995 - $7.3 trillion - 4.3% growth
1996 - $7.7 trillion - 5.5% growth
1997 - $8.2 trillion - 6.5% growth
1998 - $8.6 trillion - 4.9% growth
1999 - $9.2 trillion - 7.0% growth
2000 - $9.8 trillion - 6.5% growth
an average of 5.8% growth.
Just for kicks, lets look at the Bush years:
2001 - $10.2 trillion
2002 - $10.5 trillion - 2.9%
2003 - $11.0 trillion - 4.8%
2004 - $11.7 trillion - 6.4%
2005 - $12.4 trillion - 6.0%
2006 - $13.2 trillion - 6.5%
2007 - $13.9 trillion - 5.3%
2008 - $14.4 trillion - 3.6%
or 5.1%
So the OMB and CBO are estimating that the next 5 years will see growth that exceeds the average of the last 8 years, and is close to that of the Clinton years. Does anybody believe that? They are using this for budget purposes. Methinks the economy will come up short (but remember we are spending money based on these forecasts). Good grief.
While I'm at it, lets look at those Reagan years that were so terrible:
1981 - $3.0
1982 - $3.2 - 6.7%
1983 - $3.4 - 6.3%
1984 - $3.8 - 11.8%
1985 - $4.1 - 7.9%
1986 - $4.4 - 7.3%
1987 - $4.6 - 4.6%
1988 - $5.0 - 8.7%
or 7.6% average. Golly gee, I don't write economic articles for Harvard, but my simple peanut brain thinks those are some good numbers.