The Trump Economy

"hottest economy"

Trump needs to 'counsel' economic adviser Hassettt

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said Monday that U.S. job gains could be lower in the coming months due to slower labor force growth and higher productivity, weighing into a debate that is also underway at the Federal Reserve and promises to shape the central bank's coming policy decisions

https://www.newsmax.com/finance/stre...09/id/1245473/

Donald Trump Jr. has the right idea partnering up with Birch Gold Group doing commercials for them on Youtube and TV. Why would anyone put cash in a Bank CD or savings account in this environment? With the rate that gold is appreciating at the pace it is under Trump's 2nd Presidency the price of gold will be at $12,500 at the end of Trump's Presidency in 2028. It would be easier for gold to double from $5K to $10K than Bitcoin doubling and going to $130K from current price. Originally Posted by CPT Savajo

Ain't a $$$ person.

But i'd lay odds that if you invested $100 day 1 Wall Street opened and $100 in gold, the Stock Market would have a better return on investment.

Not to say you shouldn't hedge your assets with a bit of coin there.

"I mean, there is certainly — pick your description — a K-shaped economic bifurcation of the consumer. We continue to see really consistent strength across luxury for the full year," Marriott CEO Anthony Capuano said on Yahoo Finance.


full disclosure...I am very lucky to currently be on the upward facing leg of the K shaped economy. Many of my friends are not.

The OBBB is being good...to big business.

Amazon's tax bill dropped from about $9 billion in 2024 to $1.2 billion in 2025. Likewise, Meta reported a year-over-year drop from about $9.6 billion in 2024 to $2.8 billion in 2025.

The annual report from Alphabet, meanwhile, reported a tally that combined US federal and state tax totals and showed a drop from about $21.1 billion in 2024 to $13.8 billion in 2025.

This despite big increases in profits.

Amazon's domestic profits jumped to nearly $90 billion in 2025 — an over 40% increase from 2024. Alphabet's domestic profits jumped over 32% to $143.6 billion, while Meta came in at $79.6 billion, a 20% jump.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazo...161229652.html

Trump trade advisor Peter Navarro says the rebound is proof the tariffs defied Wall Street fears and helped drive investment, productivity and economic growth critics never saw coming.

White House Counselor for Trade and Manufacturing Peter Navarro

"It's nice to be right," Navarro said, pointing back to his prediction in April. "We were talking on April 7th, thereabouts... The Dow had fallen to 38,000... What I said to you... It's going to 50,000."

Peter should take note that In 2025, the "Magnificent Seven" stocks (Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla) were responsible for approximately 40% to 52% of the S&P 500's total gains.

Nvidia and Alphabet: These were the primary drivers, with Nvidia alone contributing 15.5% and Alphabet 13.5% of the index's total return.

Seven...out of Five Hundred.

Gotta say that finally seeing a slow down in my biz. Typically the slow time of year, so Ima not concerned at the moment. But things need to pickup when they usually do during my business cycle. Was pretty bulletproof during Covid. We'll see how things look down the road. Lord knows I did my bit last year to stimulate the economy with my spending.

Ain't a $$$ person.

But i'd lay odds that if you invested $100 day 1 Wall Street opened and $100 in gold, the Stock Market would have a better return on investment.

Not to say you shouldn't hedge your assets with a bit of coin there. Originally Posted by Precious_b

You would lay odds and lose your bet in a simulation ran a billion times over. Such a bet wouldn't be fair from 1834-1933 because gold was pegged at $20, but if we started the bet at 1974 when the American slaves (every citizen living in the US at the time) were allowed to own gold again as a privlege granted by government gold would clearly be the winner. Especially if the banksters were not allowed to short gold with paper contracts to control the physical price in which they are losing that war. Gold should already be well over $10K an oz and at the rate it's going up with Trump as President gold could be at $12K an oz at the end of his presidency if he gets his way with the young pencil-pushing Fed head.

You would lay odds and lose your bet in a simulation ran a billion times over. Such a bet wouldn't be fair from 1834-1933 because gold was pegged at $20, but if we started the bet at 1974 when the American slaves (every citizen living in the US at the time) were allowed to own gold again as a privlege granted by government gold would clearly be the winner. Especially if the banksters were not allowed to short gold with paper contracts to control the physical price in which they are losing that war. Gold should already be well over $10K an oz and at the rate it's going up with Trump as President gold could be at $12K an oz at the end of his presidency if he gets his way with the young pencil-pushing Fed head. Originally Posted by CPT Savajo

If I understand correctly, it took 50 years to reach the level it was at when Trump took office and then it nearly doubled in price in a year, right?

To me, that doesn't seem like coincidence.

Isn't gold considered to be a hedge against economic uncertainty as much as, if not more than it is an investment vehicle?

"Global central banks are buying large amounts of gold, partly driven by a trend toward de-dollarization and a desire to diversify reserves away from U.S. policy dependence."

"The potential for a weaker U.S. dollar, linked to policies from the returning Trump administration, has further encouraged buying, as investors seek assets to hedge against the dollar's relative decline."

"Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve might reduce interest rates, or conversely, concerns about the Fed's independence, have fueled interest in gold."

"The surge in gold has been linked to concerns regarding the Trump administration's 'convention-busting' approach to governance, including sweeping tariff threats against both allies and foes, which create volatility and market anxiety."

"In summary, the rapid, near-doubling of gold prices to record highs in 2025-2026 acts as a "barometer of market anxiety," signaling that many investors are hedging against risks associated with unpredictable trade, geopolitical, and economic policies."

Apparently, gold has only done this once before in 1979-1980,
"When it experienced a massive, rapid surge, with prices nearly doubling in a single year amid high U.S. inflation, oil price shocks, and geopolitical crises."

It looks like Trump's current economy (if that's the right way to put it) and actions are contributing to present global uncertainty.

It's great that people have made money, and I hope you have, too, but is it really a good thing that the price of gold has gotten so high and do we really want the conditions that it looks like will be necessary for gold to double again?

https://www.google.com/search?q=why+...-8#lfId=ChxjMe


https://www.google.com/search?q=is+t...-8#lfId=ChxjMe


https://www.google.com/search?q=has+...-8#lfId=ChxjMe

^^Trump has ridden us into the apocalypse and the U.S. dollar into the shitter, bigly. thanks Trump, you stable genius you!..

Trump reveals the 'stable genius' planning behind his tariffs...

I put on a 30% tariff, which is very low. Still, we were having a big deficit but it was half the deficit and I got an emergency call from I believe the prime minister of Switzerland and she was very aggressive. Nice, but very aggressive. “Sir, we are a small country. We can’t do this. We can’t do this.” I couldn’t get her off the phone. “We are a small country,” and I said, “you may be a small country, but we have a $42 billion deficit with you.” “No, no, we are a small country.” Again and again and again, I couldn’t get her off the phone. So it was at 30% and I didn’t really like the way she talked to us, and so instead of giving her a reduction I raised it to 39%, and then I got inundated by people from Switzerland and I figured, do you know what? We’ll do something that’s a little bit more palatable.