The two million is a conservative estimate. Right now in the USA you have about 3 million infected (1.5M with symptoms, 1.5M without symptoms) and 88,000 deaths. This makes the death rate in the USA 2.9%. Over time this will probably lower to 2%. So far CV19 is proving to have a higher death rate SARs or Influenza. If 200 million citizens in the USA got infected there would be a lot more than 2 million deaths. The data is the data.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graph...-cases-deaths/
Originally Posted by adav8s28
the death rate is not 3%. your link doesn't state that or any rate. so where are you doing your math? are you taking the NY Times who claim it's 4% and figure it's 3 really? both are too high per the data
Why We Don’t Know the True Death Rate for Covid-19
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/17/u...eath-rate.html
In Italy, the death rate stands at about 13 percent, and in the United States, around 4.3 percent, according to the latest figures on known cases and deaths. Even in South Korea, where widespread testing helped contain the outbreak, 2 percent of people who tested positive for the virus have died,
recent data shows.
These supposed death rates also appear to vary widely by geography: Germany’s fatality rate appears to be roughly
one-tenth of Italy’s, and Los Angeles’s about half of New York’s. Among U.S. states, Michigan, at around 7 percent, is at the high end, while Wyoming, which reported its first two deaths this week, has one of the lowest death rates, at about 0.7 percent.
Virology experts say there is
no evidence that any strain of the virus, officially known as SARS-CoV-2,
has mutated to become more severe in some parts of the world than others, raising the question of why there appears to be so much variance from country to country.
https://www.google.com/search?client...sclient=psy-ab
these numbers show 1,5200,000 Confirmed cases and 89,932 deaths.
if those numbers are accurate what's the death rate?