80% of the people hospitalized in Israel have been vaxxed. They are 2-3 months ahead of us on the vaxx path... guess what happens in 2-3 months here...
yeah, get that jab! lol
Originally Posted by texassapper
At the risk of sounding like a broken record, please brush up on your math skills. This is explained by Simpson's paradox.
Using August data, among Israeli's under 50, you were 13X likelier to be hospitalized from COVID if you were unvaccinated. For Israeli's over 50, you were almost 7 times likelier to be hospitalized if unvaccinated. The vaccines in August were 85% to 95% effective against severe disease. (1)(2)
The reasons for the seeming discrepancy,
1. The percentage of COVID patients in Israeli hospitals with severe COVID who are vaccinated was actually around 50% to 60%, not 80%, a few weeks ago. Now, perhaps because of boosters, Israel has more unvaccinated hospitalized patients than vaccinated hospital patients. (1)(2)(3)
2. A substantially higher percentage of older people are vaccinated in Israel than younger people.
3. Older people are much more likely to be hospitalized from COVID than younger people. Like orders of magnitude more likely.
Consider this example. If, say, 100% of old people were vaccinated, and the vaccine reduced their probability of hospitalization by 90%, so they were 100X likelier to be hospitalized than young, unvaccinated people instead of 1000X more likely, then still most of the hospitalized will be old, vaccinated people.
Footnotes
(1)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlo...psons-paradox/
(2)
https://www.covid-datascience.com/po...are-vaccinated
(3)
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle...er-2021-08-20/