well said, that screwed with whirls brain cell ..
Im certainly not in the oil biz, but I did stay at a Holiday INN ...
Crude is global, gasoiline is regional (if you will)
after taking into consideration the aforementioned (by Blue, and my little the hint of the $'s value )
a barrel of crude contains 42 gallons and a barrel costs $100, making the cost to produce 1 gallon of gas $2.38, That does not include the costs to transport crude oil to a refinery, refine the oil into gasoline, transport the gasoline to distribution hubs or wholesalers, deliver the gasoline to retail locations or operate service stations.
I saw an interview with the CEO of Shell explain refining costs, apparently from what I heard, the refineries can bump the price per barrel as much as the market can stand, ( is that right Blue?) and in 08 restructured their price as much as $1.00 a barrel.
But at no time have I ever heard anyone ass deep in the oil business blame the price at the pump on any president.
my 2
Originally Posted by CJ7
And you will never hear anyone in the business blame high prices on any politician or on speculators. Blaming politicians can create animosity from the people who regulate the industry. Yes, it is heavily regulated. Giving credence to speculators just encourages more money into the speculative part of the market. Contrary to popular belief, energy companies do not really like high prices. What they like are high "spreads". Large oil companies are vertically integrated and most have to buy a significant percentage of the oil they refine. A spread is the difference between value of the output and the value of the input. The problem with high prices is that generally the higher the price, the higher the volatility. Which means if they buy crude now for use in 60-90 days (it takes time to ship it and prepare it for refining), the price of gasoline could drop significantly in the meantime rendering a loss. More volatility is more difficult to manage and creates more uncertainty from the oil companies.
Also, when everyone hears "$100 per barrell" oil, that does not mean that refineries are paying that. That is for WTI, a specific grade of oil (actually almost none exists any longer). Most refineries now use heavier/sour crudes that cost considerably ($10-$15 per barrell) less. Also, refining costs vary widely by the type of crude and they type of refinery equipment. Some refineries have costs as low as $1.00-$1.15 per barrrell. Others have costs over $2.00. Most barrells yield about 45% gasoline (this can vary depending on type of crude, weather, refinery efficiency, etc..)
I think most agree there are 3 factors (ignoring taxes) that contribute to prices: supply/demand (regional for gasoline), value of the dollar, speculation.
My take, (I have only been doing this 25 years, and NO, 25 years does not qualify me as an expert), is that speculation is at most 10% of the price of a barrel of oil, supply/demand is about 50-60%, devaluation of the dollar AND worldwide speculation that the dollar will continue weakening is about 30-40%.
Without getting the dollar under control (i.e. controlling our budget), the inflationary pressures will continue.