Barack Obama never misses a chance to remind everyone that he inherited a bad situation. He's certainly right about that, but like Jimmy Carter in 1977-78, he seems intent on making it much worse.
The biggest problem we face is a looming fiscal train wreck caused by out-of-control government spending. Deficit spending was bad enough during the Bush years. In fact, real (adjusted for inflation) spending increased by about 30% on his watch. No matter how you slice it, that's a dismal record.
In fact, David Walker famously said a couple of years ago that the 2003 prescription drug entitlement bill was the most fiscally irresponsible piece of legislation passed during the last several decades. (But he said that before anyone even dreamed of the $862 billion "stimulus bill" -- The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009.)
The "stimulus bill" has little to do with averting a worse recession or stimulating economic growth and everything to do with showering borrowed and newly-created money on public employee unions and other favored constituencies. It was a political stimulus bill, not an economic one. The claim that government spending produces prosperity is based on economic doctrine that should be considered thoroughly discredited by the experiences of Britain in the 1950s-'70s, the U.S. in the '70s, and Japan in the '90s. But the idea remains popular with politicians who love to be given a license to buy votes with other people's money!
Even worse, the "stimulus bill" seems to be just a warm-up act for Obama and the Pelosi/Reid congress. If it can reasonably be said (it can and it was) that George W. Bush spent like a drunken sailor, it must be noted that Obama is intent on spending like a drunken SMU trust fund brat.
This is just part of an overaching, anti-growth agenda that will make prospects for sustainable jobs growth and economic growth worse, not better.
If you're a business owner or manager who makes hiring decisions, what do you see when you take a look around the lansdcape?
Well, for one thing, you see an out-of-control government that has to depend on about $130 billion of net new treasury issuance every month. You have to know that the world does not have an unlimited appetite for all that newly-created debt, and that private sector credit will eventually be crowded out -- ultimately making it more difficult for you to borrow funds for working capital, inventory financing, or expansion.
You also must realize that politicians will eventually be forced to do something about a structural deficit that's close to 10% of GDP. It's obvious that you'll see big tax increases in the fairly near future, and I'm not talking about tax increases only on the top 2% of the income strata. The only way you can pay for the current level of spending is with a very large tax increase on the middle class. (In fact, Obama's new deficit commission is sometimes referred to as the "VAT-recommendation commission.") If your business depends on consumer spending, you obviously realize that sucking about a trillion bucks a year out of the economy is going to have some pretty negative consequences for economic growth.
Small businesses have been the major engines of job creation in the U.S. for many years. Given the current policy mix, should anyone be surprised if they're reticent to hire?
Of course not. Sensible people recognize a fiscal kamikaze mission when they see one.
By the way, one thing that went largely unnoticed during all the hubbub over the firing of General McChrystal was that Obama's budget director, Peter Orszag, just announced that he's resigning as of next month. Who can blame him? I mean, seriously, having that on your record is about like being one of Michael Jackson's personal physicians. I'm sure he smells the smoke and wants to get the hell out of the building before everybody realizes it's on fire.