I'll agree with you on #1. Discretionary income is key.
On #2, we agree some and disagree some.
I don't own a TV, but studies say the average American spends 35 hours a week in front of the tube -- so I have to agree that to a large extent we have, at the consumer level, an experience-based economy; or perhaps more aptly described a "watching other people's experience"-based economy. lol
I also agree that to some degree people derive utility from what they buy. Like when I buy a wrench. I use it a lot. Even if I'd have a hard time selling it at a yardsale, I've derived value from it that was greater than I spent.
But on the other hand, a great deal of what people buy is worthless junk. Even if it weren't worthless, it is arguable that the utility they derive is less than they spent, especially if they bought it on credit.
For example, and I hate to pick on anyone, have you ever met someone who had clothes in their closet that still had the tags on? LOTS of clothes that still had the tags on? Shoes purchased two years ago that have never been worn? Clothes three years old still in the bag? That's the result of shopping for entertainment. At least if your income isn't too high you can deduct a fraction of its cost when donating it.
Guys can be just as bad. How many guys have rifles in their gun safe that they have only shot once or twice in a matter of a decade? They will dump gobs and gobs into something like reloading, and maybe reload 20 rounds a year. And when they go to get rid of the gear, it is worth maybe 10 cents on the dollar.
People witness advertising and experience advertising-created demand for things they never knew existed before seeing the ads. Maybe some of the stuff isn't junk, but it is likely un-needed.
People do crazy stuff. I know a guy who takes home $2k/month with a $700 car payment. Insane.
So I largely agree with your corrections, so amend to agree that some stuff isn't junk; but the utility equation is iffy in too many cases.
I agree with several of your points, but take issue with a few:
1) The "bagger" not participating in the biz...: I'll go back to my OP & contention that it is not about income but discretionary income. What do our enlisted military men make? A hell of a lot less than 46K but (at least for the single ones) it is almost all discretionary. They represent a very active participant in the adult entertainment industry, including escorts, if not HDHs
2) I'll agree with your contention that many folks in the middle income class lack the discipline to save to prioritize for that occasional provider business, but I take issue with the stuff they buy is all junk. Just because it depreciates tremendously doesn't make it junk. Two things are going on: one) shows there is value in our distribution/retail systems and advertising/retail space/websites/brand building cost money to build; two) the consume has gotten some utility out of the what they bought. Hopefully in the say two or so years since you bought that toaster oven, hopefully you've gotten some use out of it. Even though you only got 10 cents on the $ back for it at your garage sale, hopefully you don't feel like it was a waste.
Further, broadly speaking our economy is an experience-based one. Every month most of us pay a cable bill, ISP bill, mobile phone data plan, maybe netfilx...not to mention eating out, entertainment, etc. what about a vacation? (I am purposely leaving out neccessities like basic food, shelter, transportation). Point is very little of what most people buy in any given month is worth anything or has a liquid market for its resale at anything close to wholesale.
Afterall, what is an HDH but a glorious experience? After it is over what do you have but the memories? You don't have an "asset" you can resell at a yard sale...
Originally Posted by atlcomedy