common sense tells you that if he lost the popular vote by 3 million, there is no way his approval rating can be over 50%. He didn’t get 50% of the vote, how could expect any accurate poll to have him that high no matter the polling sample?
Originally Posted by Austin Dude
Trump... lost the popular vote by A LOT and there is no way that he could lose way more than half of the population in an election and then have over a 50% approval rating in his first month. It’s common sense.
Originally Posted by Austin Dude
No, you stupid fuck. You know nothing about polls, their methodology or how their results can and do bounce around. And
common sense tells us it is not only possible, it's LIKELY for an incoming President's approval rating to increase during the 3 months between Election Day and the Inauguration. It happens all the time (look up the actual record for odumbo, Bush, Clinton) because most Americans want a new President to succeed, whether they voted for him or not.
Bill Clinton was elected in 1992 with only 43% of the popular vote - yet his approval rating averaged 56% during his first 3 months in office. Look it up.
You keep saying Trump lost the popular vote by "a lot". You rounded up 2.87 million. That sounds like a lot, until you realize close to 136 million votes were cast in the 2016 Presidential election. You're afraid to talk in percentages, which is what really counts. Trump received 46.1% of the vote versus versus 48.2% for hildebeest and 5.7% for third-party candidates. So Trump won with a higher percentage than Bill Clinton did in 1992.
Common sense, which you clearly lack, tells us it is easily possible, even LIKELY, that Trump's approval rating may have seen a post-election bounce, just as Bill Clinton's did.
Oh, and one more thing - those approval ratings include everyone of voting age in their polling sample, not just those who actually cast a ballot on Election Day. So you're looking at apples and oranges. But that's a
common-sense methodology issue that your pea brain is too tiny to grasp.