Trump currently with 22 % lead in latest poll. Cry on. Still the greatest President EVER
Originally Posted by oilfieldace
Then there's the simple FACT that Republican voters
don't wanna "move on" - look at the polls... TRUMP 2024!
#### Salty
Originally Posted by Salty Again
Gentlemen, granted, you have to consider Trump the man to beat for the Republican nomination, based on the polls. The question is can he win a general election? If you look at the average for polls for a Trump/Biden matchup, you'd think it's a toss up. But that's deceiving.
The polls may have been representative of the preferences of registered voters. But historically a higher percentage of Republicans went to the effort to actually cast votes. As a result, Trump and Republican Congressmen won by greater margins than were predicted by the polls, up through 2020.
In 2022 though, it was the other way around. Here's a more extreme illustration, the Senate race between Don Bolduc (R) and Maggie Hassan (D):
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...ssan-7379.html
The polls close to the election showed Hassan winning by 1.4%, but she ran away with it and won by 9.1%.
Democrats are mad as hell at Trump because because he tried to steal the 2020 election. They're going to turn out in force if he's the nominee, because they believe the future of American democracy is at stake. If Trump's the general election candidate, he'll lose.
It's better to go with another nominee rather than Trump. Any other nominee. Biden, given his age and signs of dementia, is a weak candidate, as long as Trump's not the other choice.