You are correct on all counts.
Right now, 15 months from the 2022 elections, holding control of the House is in trouble for Democrats, and although the Senate map favors Democrats in 2022, it is way too early to make any serious predictions. Originally Posted by SpeedRacerXXX
Except that some Democrats are making the same predictions and they are making them out loud.
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/07/...022-elections/

Democrats could suffer a big fall in 2022 elections
“I am worried,” said veteran Democratic political consultant Neil Oxman. “Other than Trump, we have not found anything that makes us as outraged as the other side is about everything they talk about.” Without urgency and anger as a motivator, Oxman frets that Democratic turnout could tail off sufficiently to let the GOP win the handful of seats necessary to take over the narrowly divided House.
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/550213-emmer-vulnerable-democrats-who-vote-to-raise-taxes-will-lose-in-2022
Vulnerable Democrats who vote to raise taxes will lose in 2022
https://www.npr.org/2021/07/22/10189...r-democrats-in
Rising Violent Crime Is Likely To Present A Political Challenge For Democrats In 2022
And my personal favorite
https://www.politico.com/news/2021/0...-crisis-500726
‘We’re f---ed’: Dems fear turnout catastrophe from GOP voting laws
There’s growing concern — bordering on alarm — about the potential impact in 2022 of the raft of new voting restrictions.
I firmly believe all these issues will carry over to the Senate races. I don't see how they could not.
I firmly believe all these issues will carry over to the Senate races. I don't see how they could not.