My back of the envelope idea, is to guarantee catastrophic care for all US citizens (think Medicare part A), coupled with Trump's idea of direct payments (think Medicare B and D), of, say, $1,500 to $2,500 annually, depending on income, to replace Obamacare. I suspect Republicans won't go for it, since it closely mirrors Medicare for all
Originally Posted by Capital
Interesting post Capital, thanks. I suspect this is something like what TxDot's proposing, perhaps without the direct payments.
How would Medicare for all work? Not very well without radial changes. See this paper,
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2769102
Please note that people over 65 in the USA are in the Medicare program. Here are per capita expenditures for people over 65, in 2015 adjusted for purchasing power.
United States $24,655
Australia $13,316
Canada $11,773
Germany $12,442
Netherlands $12,285
Japan $9972
Switzerland $16,788
United Kingdom $9584
If you adjust to 2025 dollars using the CPI, that's $33,500 per person per year (for over 65's) spent on healthcare in the USA!
Healthcare spending for over 65's in the USA is double the eight country average.
Furthermore, please note from the table in the JAMA paper that the "expenditure relative to the mean" for over 65's in the USA is 2X the 8 country average, compared to 1.9X for all ages. On the surface this would indicate Medicare is slightly more expensive than health care for under 65's, compared to other countries. Admittedly that may be a LITTLE deceiving since you have close-to-universal health care for over 65's in the USA, and you don't for younger people.
Still $33,500 a person is insane! And the USA's population is aging. And there's no way the politicians and retirees are going to allow changes to Medicare. In other words, we're fucked.
From the JAMA article,
Our findings suggest that despite appearing similar in structure to the health care systems of other high-income countries, the US health care system for individuals aged 65 years and older is comparably more costly. These findings suggest that moving to a Medicare-for-all model may not substantially reduce US health care spending relative to that of other high-income countries. Different approaches are likely needed if the US is to adopt a system that achieves this aim.