Oh and by the way: https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=3662
Ruh roh, Biden is within the error margin of winning TX. What is interesting is Abbott is running way ahead of Trump, so it looks like people are happy with the Govenor's handling of the pandemic.
Originally Posted by EagleEye
I would never vote for Trump but I did vote for Abbott. He is a little too far right for me on some issues but I believe he had done a good enough job running Texas to earn my vote.
Trump will win Texas in 2020 but, as I predicted a long time ago, it won't be by the 9% margin he won it in 2016. Texas is getting bluer each day and once it turns blue, it will be difficult for any Republican to be elected as POTUS. NY, California, and Texas carry a ton of electoral votes, and when you add in Florida which can go either way in any election, it is possible in 2024 that the 4 most populous states will vote Democratic.
Right now Trump has a double-digit negative approval rating according to both 538 and RealClearPolitics. The approval rating was -2 to -3% 2 months ago. In some polls, Biden leads Trump by double digits at the national level, with some polls in the negative mid-teens. Clinton led Trump by 2% at this point in time in 2016. Biden either leads or is within the margin of error in every battleground state.
This is not to say that Trump will not pull out a victory in November. His negative campaigning worked in 2016 and it may work in 2020. In my opinion, many voters have come to recognize the "real" Trump over the last 40 months and have tired of his schtick. We shall find out in less than 5 months.