You need to look up fat chance in the dictionary. Texas is not going back to the Democratic plantation.
Originally Posted by Austin Ellen
On that we agree. But I said years ago that Trump would win Texas in 2020 but not come close to the 9% margin he won it by in 2016. Texas is becoming more purple every day. As is Arizona.
I'm having a difficult time believing the polls. Trump's approval ratings are dropping like a rock. At this point in time in 2016, Clinton led Trump by 2% at the national level. Biden currently leads Trump by almost 7% today. Biden has solid leads in the states of Michigan (+4.2%), Pennsylvania (+4.0%), Wisconsin (+3.4%), Florida (+3.4%), Minnesota (+5.0% but only 1 poll done), Nevada (+4.0%), and NH (+4.6%). Biden leads closely in the states of NC, Ohio, and Arizona. Only in Texas and Iowa, 2 states I never considered to be battleground states, is Trump winning.
What does all this mean? In my opinion Trump is in dire trouble. He trails Biden in 10 of 12 battleground states. About this time in 2016, Trump trailed Clinton but the gap started to close and by election day he was surging. Trump has a sizable advantage in money and I'm sure he will be using it in the battleground states. Unfortunately for Trump, everything he does is appealing to his base but does nothing to incent those undecided voters to vote for him. His handling of the death of George Floyd has been a political disaster for him.
Trump supporters keep saying that the Trump surge will come. We are now less than 5 months from election day. And recently all the numbers are moving in the wrong direction for Trump.