does the pro camp look right?The pro camp does not look right. I am anti-Biden. And anti-Trump. And I probably want the Republicans to win the Senate more than you day. And have probably contributed more to Republican senatorial campaigns.
ok guys, you need to fix your senate results.
2 independents are not running this year, they will in 2024. so the total is 98 senate seats instead of 100. btw, 2 of the independents caucus with the democrats. Originally Posted by dilbert firestorm
Rules: Only entries submitted before midnight, Sunday, October 11 will be accepted. You may not change your estimate after submission. Bernie Sanders and Angus King, two independent Senators who caucus with Democrats, will be counted as Democrats. There will be one winner for the Senate question and one winner for the Electoral College question. Your predictions for Democratic and Republican Senators should total 100. And your prediction for number of electoral votes received by Trump plus electoral votes received by Biden should total 538. In the event of a tie, the winners will share the glory. Originally Posted by Tiny
About your other post, I wonder if there's a combination of states that would make it possible to end up with a 269/269 tie. I suspect there is, but probably pretty unlikely that will happen this year. Originally Posted by Tiny
Given partisan polarization and the growing prevalence of straight-ticket voting, you cannot really separate Senate trends from presidential trends. So before looking at the Senate races in detail, it’s important to note that Biden’s lead over Trump has grown in the past turbulent week: It’s at 9.7 percent in the polling averages at RealClearPolitics, the biggest lead since June 24, and 10.2 percent at FiveThirtyEight, the biggest lead of the year.Senate:
Swap Michigan, Wisconsin and Virgina.except that those 2 independents are caucusing with the democrats. one of whom is a very well known socialist, Bernie Sanders.
Biden 275
Dump 246
Why It’s Harder Than it Looks for Democrats to Win the Senate
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020...he-senate.html
Senate:
Two independents for Democrats.
Fifty declared Democrats.
Forty-eight Republicans.
Independents could and should help in the healing process after a bloody gutting four years.
Originally Posted by eccieuser9500
just for kicks. will someone post an entry with 269 electoral votes. lol. Originally Posted by dilbert firestormI worked out a scenario where I added up to 271 in one case. I was going to post it, but just couldn't. I wanted to take this a little more serious. I couldn't see it that close.
Most of the Democratic presidential candidates want to abolish the Electoral College to ensure the person with the most votes always wins. Changing to direct election of the president could be accomplished through a constitutional amendment or, less permanently, a method such as the National Popular Vote Compact, an agreement among states to award their electoral votes to the candidate who wins the national popular vote. Before his election, Trump called the current system a “disaster,” but afterwards, he said that “the Electoral College is far better for the U.S.A.”
Another great thread. I'll do more research.
Preliminary guess: Senate goes Democratic 52 and Republican 48. Originally Posted by eccieuser9500
except that those 2 independents are caucusing with the democrats. one of whom is a very well known socialist, Bernie Sanders. Originally Posted by dilbert firestormI know. I'm sticking with my gut instinct.
just for kicks. will someone post an entry with 269 electoral votes. lol. Originally Posted by dilbert firestormstart at no toss up state and work from there. I got that on first try. the result surprised me.