Poor Hillary. She's just out there thinking "WTF?" I don't see how she could join so late but anything can happen. I'll tell you who the dem nominee will be - Joe Biden. I think it's going to be Biden and Trump. I'm still shaking my head over that but that's how I see it. I think the house will go Republican. I think the senate will stay Republican.
Colorado could go either way but Arizona - I think that will go red. Alabama - could go either way.
Bootom line - there is a reckoning coming and it will be reflected in the polls.
The following is a good example of what I believe.
Read Why Trump will win again in 2020 - https://spectator.us/trump-win-again...-davis-hanson/
Originally Posted by Austin Ellen
Well, it's nice you admit you were wrong about Hillary.
I am not sure if The Spectator article you cited is from the American or English version of the publication but both are extremely right biased, so of course they would favor Trump.
https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/the-spectator-usa/
There are just as many, maybe more, predicting a loss by Trump in 2020 as there are predicting a victory.
Why Trump will lose in 2020
With unemployment at a 50-year low and the stock market near record highs, President Trump should be a shoo-in for reelection. He’s not.
In fact, Trump could very plausibly lose in November. Perhaps by a wide margin. Here are 4 reasons why:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-t...133414780.html
Opinion: Five reasons Trump won’t win in 2020
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fi...020-2019-06-19
2020 predictions: Trump will lose — if not in the Senate, then with the voters
https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign...ith-the-voters
Trump Will Lose in 2020
https://www.thenation.com/podcast/po...tion-politics/
Trump will lose in 2020 if this happens, regardless of who the Democrats nominate, says Peter Schiff
https://www.kitco.com/news/2019-12-1...-nominate.html
Right now it's a pure guessing game as to who will win. Biden leads Trump in polling in most battleground states, and is neck-and-neck with him in others.
You mention the polls. What has been unseen in presidential polls since their inception is how little variance there has been with Trump. He does something perceived by most to be positive and the polls don't move much. He does something perceived by most to be negative and the polls don't move much. 1 month ago his approval rating spiked up and now it is back down. Overall approval ratings don't mean much to me -- it is the approval ratings in battleground states that are. And they should be watched closely.
Very little likelihood your predictions on the House and Senate will be correct. Absolutely nothing points to Republicans gaining control of the House. Why do you think that way?
Very doubtful both Colorado and Arizona go Republican. Both states have become more blue in recent years and both current Senators in those states are not well liked.